Posted on 02/25/2020 8:54:37 AM PST by TexasGurl24
It really depends.
If the virus is still a problem on election day, it is trouble for him. BUT, if it has been fixed by then he may well get a 9/11 type bounce from solving the problem.
Remember, Bush got to 90+ % approval after 9/11.
If coronavirus escaped from a Chinese bio-warfare lab and we manage to stop it in the US that is a major victory.
I hear some Republican running a quixotic campaign against Adam Schiff in SoCal is running TV spots that feature Republican voters thanking him for running shampeachment and assuring Trump’s re-election.
it is an excellent poll with solid methodology.
1500 likely voters polled daily at the rate of 500 per day.
Much better than the media polls which wait for an event (usually negative to Trump) and then take a snap poll using loaded questions.
LOL - great phrase...
Complacency is our biggest enemy. We need to fight like hell every minute. I'll be thrilled if the President gets the same EV count (and nothing more) that he got in '16.A nationwide popular vote majority would be nice but unlikely...thanks to wetbacks and the dead voting in Kalifornia.
I assume Trump will break election records on Nov. 3, 2020. Lots of Democrats will vote for President DJT, but deny it. In the voting booth, there’s just the voter and his wallet. California will be mightily surprised by PDJT’s vote total, plus Congressional votes.
Go Trump!
I believe that is his highest RCP aggregate ever.
And Sanders. Sanders is making Trump’s support go up.
Thats exactly right because, even putting aside any polling bias, baked into the disapproval number is at least 5% of people who will ultimately vote for Trump but cannot bring themselves to say that they approve of him.
I think his approval/favorability rating right before the election was something like 39% and of course the percentage that voted for him with was much higher, for the same reason.
52% is close to a landslide by modern standards. Obama got 52.86% in 2008. With Cali fraud I think it would hard to achieve. I’d be happy to win the “popular vote” at all.
In EC terms, gainable states are in loose order NH, MN, NV, CO, VA, ME (at large), NM, that would be 355. 37 states.
Beyond that is not likely, Oregon and Delaware (Bernie not Biden) would be next. There was a Delaware poll, all dems but Biden only led narrowly.
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