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To: TigerClaws

“Even if the general fatality rate is as low as 1%, which Leung thinks is possible once milder cases are taken into account, the death toll would be massive.”


It might be that low in countries with a First World medical system...until that system gets over-loaded. There are only so many doctors and nurses, so many beds in actual hospitals (not double-wides thrown together in an emergency), so much medicine that will be effective and so many supplies.

Right now, you can’t find N-95 masks anywhere, and that’s a SIMPLE supply chain that has already been disrupted.

What happens when doctors and nurses start getting sick from this (maybe not at the hospital - they have kids who could get it in school and bring it home).

What happens when workers at drug and medical supply plants start getting sick?

What happens when truckers and grocery store and oil field workers start getting sick?

Simple answer: you have one or more vital supply chains that are FUBAR’d, and some of them spill into other areas, and once knowledge of the disruption occurs you have the panic meter going further toward (or into) the red.

We had better pray hard and act to quarantine people who MIGHT have this disease or contact with those that do/might, or a world of schiff is coming. Geez, Johnny Carson caused a weeks-long toilet paper shortage in the late ‘70s with a simple joke.


79 posted on 02/11/2020 8:07:31 AM PST by Ancesthntr ("The right to buy weapons is the right to be free." A. E. van Vogt, The Weapons Shops of Isher)
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To: Ancesthntr

Good points...when you see the PPE they are using in China (either in the official pics or leaked pics) it’s no small potatoes, 3 layers gloves, etc, I hope our ERs and GP are prepared with that kind of protection if cases start showing up.

And what kind of screening is there so they don’t think they are just flu patients? Some Coronavirus patients tested positive for both. Asking about China travel was helpful early. Asking about any travel is probably more prudent now. Even that could become obsolete at the where there are secondary cases. Are patients going to show up like the health person in NY suggested or call ahead? And then there’s the false negative where everyone let’s their guard down, and they they come back positive.

My concern is healthcare workers here being exposed before they even realize what they are dealing with. That could overwhelm the system pretty quickly. Hopefully there’s a lot of informing and preparing going on.


87 posted on 02/11/2020 8:26:52 AM PST by LilFarmer
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