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To: calenel

CCP?

JHU?

I read all your corona virus posts going back three days.

You never give the raw numbers on “resolved” cases. You just keep saying 29% dead.

China started posting the infected and dead numbers four weeks ago. The death toll was 2.5% on their first post. The China death toll has hovered consistently around 2% since that first post.

Even if China is now lying, why are we not seeing this 29% death toll on cruise ships and in other countries?

I think you have misplaced a decimal point, and you are too vain to admit it.


123 posted on 02/09/2020 12:51:31 AM PST by zeestephen
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To: zeestephen
CCP?

Chinese Communist Party

JHU?

John Hopkins University

I read all your corona virus posts going back three days.

Did you think this was the only thread or that only my posts have any data? And this didn't just start three days ago.

You never give the raw numbers on “resolved” cases. You just keep saying 29% dead.

See posts 20, 98, 107, 108 and there is a link to the JHU site here: JHU data from CCP (and already posted elsewhere on this thread), where the raw numbers are now 814 dead and 2922 recovered, for a MORTALITY rate of about 22% (now). Early on it was well over 50% but it has been declining over time.

China started posting the infected and dead numbers four weeks ago. The death toll was 2.5% on their first post. The China death toll has hovered consistently around 2% since that first post.

You are using the wrong number - infected instead of resolved cases - in your calculation. We don't know how those infected will resolve. Maybe they all live, in which case your 2% figure becomes the actual mortality rate, or maybe they all die, in which case the mortality rate is going to be around 97%. Most likely, as the mortality rate appears to be asymptotically approaching something close to 20%, we can expect about 8,000 dead from the currently infected pool.

Even if China is now lying, why are we not seeing this 29% death toll on cruise ships and in other countries?

Three main reasons: Outside of China there appears to be containment and more resources are focused on fewer cases and time - the cases outside of China are earlier in the process. From the reported behavior and presentation of this thing, you either get sick for a while and die or you get sick for a longer while and maybe recover, but recovery takes longer than dying on average.

I think you have misplaced a decimal point, and you are too vain to admit it.

LOL, I think you have a laziness and reading comprehension issue, and maybe are mathematically challenged, and you are too vain to admit it. But no matter, you now have the link to the CCP's (questionable) data and enough information to properly read it.

124 posted on 02/09/2020 9:48:43 AM PST by calenel (The Democratic Party is a Criminal Enterprise. It is the Progressive Mafia.)
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