Posted on 01/30/2020 10:26:40 AM PST by SeekAndFind
The first case of a person contracting the novel (new) coronavirus from another person in the United States was confirmed on Jan. 30.
The patient, who has not traveled to China, is a Chicago resident and is the spouse of the first confirmed travel-related case in Illinois. That patient was a woman in her 60s who returned from Wuhan on Jan. 13.
Both patients are isolated and are in stable condition.
The first patient is isolated at St. Alexius Medical Center in Hoffman Estates, Illinois. Officials declined to say where the second patient is being treated. “This person-to-person spread was between two very close contacts, a wife and husband,” Ngozi Ezike, the director of the Illinois Department of Public Health, told reporters on a phone call. “The virus is not spreading widely across the community.”
Authorities are not recommending people take precautions like canceling activities or not going out.
“It’s important to note that this spread was among two people who were in close contact for an extended period of time,” Nancy Messonnier, director of the National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases.
Messonnier said health officials expect to see more cases in the United States, which will raise the risk of the virus passing among people.
Robert Redfield, director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), said that questions remain about the virus, telling reporters: “At this time, it’s unclear how easily or sustainably this virus is spreading between people.”
People who recently returned to the United States from China should call their healthcare provider if they develop symptoms, officials said. Earlier Thursday, Secretary of Health and Human Services Alex Azar said that the Trump administration is not imposing any travel restrictions.
(Excerpt) Read more at theepochtimes.com ...
Oh, but the epidemiologists of FR say this is nothing to worry about, no big deal, overblown.
Because flu.
Going to be in the DC area this weekend with Saturday pretty much free. Thought maybe I’d do some touristy stuff. Thought better of it.
So, a person that travelled from China, not knowing about the disease, infected their spouse. That is to be expected.
Thanks for posting. Very interesting.
Was anyone under the impression that there couldn’t be human to human transmission here?
What a nothing burger.
hurr it’s not as bad as the Spanish Flu in my day. /s
Palmer, I think it has to be spread by casual contact.
I’m sure it spreads within a family. I’m also sure it spreads by casual contact.
For the first person in a family to contract the disease, they’d pretty much have to do it through exposure in public.
All I can do is speculate at this point, but it seems to spread like the flu.
You are addressing the low numbers, but many folks are sure we are being lied to about that (by China). That may be the case.
It would seem these issues could easily be answered by studying the folks outside of China who have contracted the disease.
Like the bus driver in Japan who caught it from a tour group.
China had 6-8 weeks of spreading so far. 10k cases is pretty minimal after that length of time. There might be a lot more cases. If there are 10x or 100x more cases, then the mortality rate is 10x or 100x lower, unless the Chinese are also lying about mortality. But it is much harder to lie about the mortality.
That’s along the lines of what I’m considering.
Good example.
Oh noes - the flu is transferable to someone you sleep with! Probably got it through the eyes! This has never happened before!
Aieeeeeee!
It would seem to me to be very likely that they are picking up bodies at private residences. I’m not sure how anyone could quantify a collective number for that. If one or two bodies are picked up on your block, it doesn’t seem real ominous. Across the city, it may be.
I don’t talk about this much, because it’s impossible to quantify.
I’m going by the Johns Hopkins University numbers, and the infected people who are outside of China.
“China had 6-8 weeks of spreading so far. 10k cases is pretty minimal after that length of time.”
SARS took two years to reach those numbers. CV took two months.
That’s true. Luckily, the mortality rate hasn’t been as high as it was with SARS. “Then, SARS infected 5,237 people in mainland China and had a global death toll of almost 800.” (note this doesn’t give a total global “cases” number.
At 5578, the Coronavirus death toll was 131 globally. All of them within China...
https://time.com/5772481/china-coronavirus-latest/
This doesn’t sound terrible. If it takes that much contact, then we are pretty safe.
I’m more worried about the availability of testing. And the possibility that it’s spreading and we don’t know it yet.
But I would think unexplained cases of pneumonia would be popping up soon if not already. I assume that pneumonia cases would be automatically tested for flu. And if they have the flu, no reason to suspect Coronavirus.
Wanted to define the total SARS numbers. This should help.
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Key Facts
SARS was caused by a new coronavirus that had never been found in people before.
In 2003, a total of 8,096 people in 29 countries got SARS and 774 of them died.
Only eight people in the United States got SARS. None of them died.
Health professionals around the world worked together to successfully contain the outbreak in 2003.
In six months, the global SARS outbreak cost the world an estimated $40 billion.
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It should be noted that as of this morning there were 8,235 cases of Coronavirus globally, and 171 deaths to date.
https://www.cdc.gov/dotw/sars/index.html
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