the Virus has an R-0 of 2.5 with a 95% confidence (1.4-3.8), with confirmed asymptomatic cases and I believe confirmed asymptomatic transmission. One notable case was a 10 year old with walking pneumonia.
With no built in immunity (due to this being a corona virus) it’s worse than Spanish Influenza.
Since many colds are caused by coronaviruses, I wonder how similar this novel virus is to the coronaviruses we frequently encounter? I also wonder, if a person does not get colds, will they also resist infection by the novel virus? i.e., how much cross-immunity exists between ordinary coronaviruses and this new emergent?
A few years ago, I would have been reading everything I could about this virus, looking at the RNA sequences, proteins, etc. But I just retired, so haven't been keeping up with the virology as much as I used to.
Still haven’t seen if the dead were compromised by age, other health issues, time lag to get help...
Has an honest mortality rate been established?
the Virus has an R-0 of 2.5 with a 95% confidence (1.4-3.8)...
*******
How do they competently figure an R-0 when all, and I mean *all* the data coming out of China is bogus?
Even back channel stuff directly to the disease control peeps sent by China will be bogus.
This crap started a good while before it even got pegged as “coronavirus”. Before that, it was just “viral pneumonia”. And the hospitals was slammed then with people needing help. And the hospitals then had people just go home and rest.
and this is *before* it went official corona. And they’ve already admitted that numbers weren’t being kept then. There’s no way accurate data on transmission rates are tracked now. The system is collapsing in Wuhan.
So, again, how do all these “experts” with all these super duper wall hanger certs and diplomas behind them, have a frackin clue as to the real numbers?