Posted on 01/08/2020 2:11:14 AM PST by RoosterRedux
Less than a week after the rubout of Iranian terrorist kingpin Qassem Soleiman, quite a few pundits are dishing opinions to the press. Some are good, and others, such as Ben Rhodes, are an embarrassment.
Some of the best stuff, though, comes from the people who watch the Iranians as a matter of survival - the Israelis. It's pretty useful to know how the Israelis are reading things in the wake of Soleimani being sent to collect his virgins, given that Israel has some impressive analysts. One Israeli think tank -- the Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies -- has a lightning-fast set of takes on what's likely to happen next with the Soleiman kill-off, and what it means, brimming with striking insights. The title of the study just out is "The Soleimani Killing: An Initial Assessment" and it's a must-read at this link here. The essays are short and striking.
Here's a bit of sampling of what the short papers contain:
Hillel Fritsch writes that Soleimani's death was a major blow to Iran. Without their big terrorist, they'll descend into a miasma of suspicion of one another. Who was the informant who handed over Soleimani's coordinates? Were there a lot of them? Who can be trusted now? This would also explain why the appointed successor was a man in his 60s instead of a young guy, as Soleimani was when he took the helm. If they're out killing each other instead of us, well, good. The other thing is, they're not popular among the locals abroad. Their provocative actions were a bid to deflect all those 'Iran get out' chants being heard around Iran's client states. Fritsch writes that Iran essentially has an overextended empire, loaded with informants and they can't hang on.
(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...
No one can be trusted...
Creating chaos within, nice!
The killing proves beyond doubt that the Iranian security system is riddled with informants. They knew when Soleimani left his secret hideout in Damascus, what plane he boarded, at which airport he was going to land, which vehicles he and his retinue entered upon landing, and exactly what time those vehicles were heading out of the airport.This suggests an information flow involving tens if not hundreds of informants closely connected to the upper echelons of the Quds Force. These informants could and did provide this information to their American counterparts in real time to get the US helicopters in position for the kill.
The killing of Number Two in any country creates a devastating chain of destructive suspicion and anxiety in the corridors of power. Khamenei’s only choice in naming a successor was to choose from among old stalwarts who are above suspicion. Every individual who is newer to the organization and to the wider security network is now suspect.
Many will no doubt be removed if not executed as Iranian counter-intelligence teams try to identify the informants. The problem for the regime is figuring out who is going to replace them.
Khamenei also understands the destructive relationship between imperialist expansion and the danger that the state’s security services will be penetrated.
If Israel could uncover secret nuclear installations in Tehran, consider how much more readily the Americans, who have a massive presence in Iraq and Lebanon, can recruit Iraqis and Lebanese to penetrate the Iranian labyrinth in both states and from there work their way into Iran itself.
The killing of Soleimani suggests that just as thousands have shown themselves willing to demonstrate openly against Iran, many others are choosing to be informers at a time when the Iranian rial is worth two-thirds of its value less than two years ago.
Most Iraqis love neither Iran nor the US and are sitting on the sidelines waiting to see which state’s influence prevails over their country. The killing of Soleimani was a massive show of American force because he was touted by Iran as invincible.
good read
good stuff.
Yes, I just bet it does.
Including, perhaps, the information that he was in Baghdad planning attacks on Americans?
So you would rather trust the CIA?
Yess excellent esp the last article about Ben Rhoades and The Blob
Of course not.
I think that probably came from an Iranian. That is the current speculation on Twitter.
It makes me wonder how many of them might have been on the Ukrainian airliner.
My guess would be MOSSAD!!! They are the BEST in the entire world!!!
An Iranian MOSSAD agent no doubt.
Wonder who it is, on the inside.
When the war comes, it will consist of one attack by the combined air power is Israel, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and the US Air force and US Navy
The attack f the combined forces on carefully selected targets will overwhelm the Iranian air force and then destroy the selections in detail. Iran and the democrats know this and keep whining and whining about proportional response.
There will be no proportional response. There will be elimination of the Iranian plague
However, I believe President Trump will impose sanctions that absolutely cripple the Iranian economy. The sanctions will be directed at the Europeans that clandestinely do business with Iran. The tip off will be squealing Euro leaders, Merkel, maybe macron.
Amen.
Remember, Cui Bono
Excellent article. She’s really great.
I don’t read idiot partisan people like Ann Coulter, or Peggy Noonan etc. Monica makes more sense than all of them.
If Biden, or any of the other presidential-hopeful surrender monkeys become president, expect them to pass the informant’s name on to Iran...in the spirit of diplomacy.
How does the saying go?? You are not paranoid if someone is really out to get you. . . . ."
Couldn't happen to a more deserving gaggle of moral degenerates. . . .
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