I agree with you. I think Trump is too smart to fall into the booby trap.
The deep state/globalist have tried to derail Trump's election campaign, same to his presidency with via soft coup utilizing various avenues/methods, they've tried to glean dirt from his tax/financial records, they've attempted through various media / walstreet sources to talk down and wreck the economy.
It's certainly not a stretch (at least in my mind) that starting a war front...or two...before the election in an effort to drive down poll numbers is not out of the realm of possibility.
Problem for these globalist deep staters....Trumps base is SOLID! If Trump is forced to fight a war because of some glorious muzzie/commie strike on America, Trump's base will become stronger. Why?
Cuz Trump will show them how to fight and WIN. Leaving nothing but smoldering ashes.