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NHC issuing advisories for the Atlantic on Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen
NOAA National Hurrican Center ^ | 10/18/2019 10:00 AM Advisory | Staff

Posted on 10/18/2019 8:39:24 AM PDT by Red Badger

...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS THE SYSTEM STRONGER... ...DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Georgia
KEYWORDS:

1 posted on 10/18/2019 8:39:24 AM PDT by Red Badger
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To: NautiNurse

PING!....................


2 posted on 10/18/2019 8:39:49 AM PDT by Red Badger (Against stupidity the gods themselves contend in vain...................)
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To: Red Badger

3 posted on 10/18/2019 8:42:02 AM PDT by Red Badger (Against stupidity the gods themselves contend in vain...................)
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To: Red Badger

6 products issued by NWS for: Cinco Bayou FL
Tropical Storm Warning

Sixteen Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 5
National Weather Service Mobile AL AL162019
1022 AM CDT Fri Oct 18 2019

FLZ206-182330-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Okaloosa Coastal-
1022 AM CDT Fri Oct 18 2019

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Destin
- Eglin AFB
- Fort Walton Beach

* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 30-40 mph with gusts to 55 mph

- POTENTIAL THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Potential for wind 39 to
57 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
force due to possible forecast changes in track, size, or
intensity.
- PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect property should be
completed as soon as possible. Prepare for limited wind
damage.
- ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
- Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees
are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown
over.
- A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within
urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving
conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.
- Scattered power and communications outages.

* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Localized storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for up to 2 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: through Sunday morning

- POTENTIAL THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground
- The storm surge threat has increased from the previous
assessment.
- PLAN: Shelter against storm surge flooding greater than 1
foot above ground.
- PREPARE: All flood preparations should be complete. Expect
flooding of low-lying roads and property.
- ACT: Stay away from storm surge prone areas. Continue to
follow the instructions of local officials.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.

* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 1-3 inches, with locally
higher amounts

- POTENTIAL THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Potential for localized
flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
localized flooding from heavy rain.
- PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area
vulnerable to flooding.
- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
- Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter
currents. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may
become swollen and overflow in spots.
- Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in
usually vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding
of water occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor
drainage areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds
become near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and
bridge closures.

* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes

- POTENTIAL THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Tornadoes not expected
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms
with gusty winds may still occur.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect
against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest
tornado situation.
- ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.

* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- For evacuation and shelter information, please refer to:
- Okaloosa County EMA: 850-651-7150 or www.co.okaloosa.fl.us/ps/home
- For storm surge threat graphics and other storm impacts:
- NWS Mobile: www.weather.gov/mob

$$

Coastal Flood Advisory

Coastal Hazard Message...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1011 AM CDT Fri Oct 18 2019

ALZ266-FLZ202-204-206-190100-
/O.UPG.KMOB.SU.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-191020T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.SU.W.0001.191018T1511Z-191019T1700Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.CF.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-191019T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0032.000000T0000Z-191020T1200Z/
Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Coastal-
Okaloosa Coastal-
1011 AM CDT Fri Oct 18 2019

...HIGH SURF WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT SATURDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT
SATURDAY...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING...

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a High Surf
Warning, which is in effect until noon CDT Saturday. The High
Surf Advisory is no longer in effect.

* COASTAL FLOODING...Inundation 1 to 2 feet near the time of high
tide late this evening through early Saturday morning.

* WAVES AND SURF...Breaker heights increasing to 8 to 12 feet.

* WHERE...Fort Morgan east to Destin Florida.

* TIMING...Late today and tonight continuing through most of
Saturday morning.

* Impacts...FREQUENT LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED.
THE SURF IS DANGEROUS FOR ALL LEVELS OF SWIMMERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Surf Warning indicates that dangerous, battering waves
will pound the shoreline. This will result in life-threatening
conditions.

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

There is a high risk of rip currents. Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf. Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm. Don`t fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

High Surf Warning

Coastal Hazard Message...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1011 AM CDT Fri Oct 18 2019

ALZ266-FLZ202-204-206-190100-
/O.UPG.KMOB.SU.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-191020T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.SU.W.0001.191018T1511Z-191019T1700Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.CF.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-191019T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0032.000000T0000Z-191020T1200Z/
Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Coastal-
Okaloosa Coastal-
1011 AM CDT Fri Oct 18 2019

...HIGH SURF WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT SATURDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT
SATURDAY...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING...

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a High Surf
Warning, which is in effect until noon CDT Saturday. The High
Surf Advisory is no longer in effect.

* COASTAL FLOODING...Inundation 1 to 2 feet near the time of high
tide late this evening through early Saturday morning.

* WAVES AND SURF...Breaker heights increasing to 8 to 12 feet.

* WHERE...Fort Morgan east to Destin Florida.

* TIMING...Late today and tonight continuing through most of
Saturday morning.

* Impacts...FREQUENT LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED.
THE SURF IS DANGEROUS FOR ALL LEVELS OF SWIMMERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Surf Warning indicates that dangerous, battering waves
will pound the shoreline. This will result in life-threatening
conditions.

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

There is a high risk of rip currents. Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf. Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm. Don`t fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

Rip Current Statement

Coastal Hazard Message...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1011 AM CDT Fri Oct 18 2019

ALZ266-FLZ202-204-206-190100-
/O.UPG.KMOB.SU.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-191020T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.SU.W.0001.191018T1511Z-191019T1700Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.CF.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-191019T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0032.000000T0000Z-191020T1200Z/
Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Coastal-
Okaloosa Coastal-
1011 AM CDT Fri Oct 18 2019

...HIGH SURF WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT SATURDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT
SATURDAY...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING...

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a High Surf
Warning, which is in effect until noon CDT Saturday. The High
Surf Advisory is no longer in effect.

* COASTAL FLOODING...Inundation 1 to 2 feet near the time of high
tide late this evening through early Saturday morning.

* WAVES AND SURF...Breaker heights increasing to 8 to 12 feet.

* WHERE...Fort Morgan east to Destin Florida.

* TIMING...Late today and tonight continuing through most of
Saturday morning.

* Impacts...FREQUENT LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED.
THE SURF IS DANGEROUS FOR ALL LEVELS OF SWIMMERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Surf Warning indicates that dangerous, battering waves
will pound the shoreline. This will result in life-threatening
conditions.

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

There is a high risk of rip currents. Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf. Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm. Don`t fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current.

&&


4 posted on 10/18/2019 8:44:17 AM PDT by Red Badger (Against stupidity the gods themselves contend in vain...................)
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To: Red Badger

How many posts on this thread will be arguments about what constitutes a cyclone?


5 posted on 10/18/2019 9:09:39 AM PDT by jjotto (Next week, BOOM!, for sure!)
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To: jjotto

None so far..........


6 posted on 10/18/2019 9:14:40 AM PDT by Red Badger (Against stupidity the gods themselves contend in vain...................)
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To: Red Badger

Eventually going to come (as a tropical depression) right over area of NC that is still recovering from Hurricane Florence and the other little one of this current year (don’t remember the name).

Hope the rain doesn’t swamp those areas - again.


7 posted on 10/18/2019 9:30:54 AM PDT by Freedom'sWorthIt
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To: Red Badger

In Ft Walton Beach right now for work. On my way home gonna go buy some essentials (water, pizza, vodka) then head to my little rental room and baton down the hatches. :)


8 posted on 10/18/2019 10:26:48 AM PDT by Shark24
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To: Shark24

It’s just drizzling here in FWB right now, but more out in the GULF headed our way!................


9 posted on 10/18/2019 10:28:03 AM PDT by Red Badger (Against stupidity the gods themselves contend in vain...................)
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