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To: SpeedyInTexas

Does anyone know how well this model worked in 2016?


7 posted on 10/15/2019 11:24:40 AM PDT by InterceptPoint (Ted, you finally endorsed.)
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To: InterceptPoint

“Does anyone know how well this model worked in 2016?”

The model has been correct every year going back to 1980 - except 2016.


15 posted on 10/15/2019 11:28:13 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: InterceptPoint

Moody’s Analytics election model predicts Clinton win — though they had it as close.


16 posted on 10/15/2019 11:30:02 AM PDT by Ingtar (Funds Robbed from Everyone Else. F.R.E.E.)
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To: InterceptPoint

Actually, they had it as 270-268 Dim win this far out from the last election.


18 posted on 10/15/2019 11:32:44 AM PDT by Ingtar (Funds Robbed from Everyone Else. F.R.E.E.)
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To: InterceptPoint

At the link it says:

“The Moody’s models have been backtested to 1980 and were correct each time — except in 2016, when it indicated Clinton would win a narrow victory.”

Ooops


22 posted on 10/15/2019 11:37:12 AM PDT by TangledUpInBlue
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To: InterceptPoint

“Does anyone know how well this model worked in 2016?”

it’s accurately predicted every presidential election since 1980

https://www.moodysanalytics.com/-/media/article/2019/president-election-model.pdf


53 posted on 10/15/2019 7:56:02 PM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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