Posted on 09/12/2019 6:41:44 AM PDT by centurion316
There are a lot of possible explanations for the district-wide turnout, but being at work isn’t one of them, since early voting sites were open for at least two weeks, as late as 7:00 p.m., and including Saturdays.
There are also several potential explanations for the Robeson County results. The article’s author offered one, and I offered another. With only the information presented so far, it is not possible to state which, if either, is accurate.
I find it incredibly hard to believe that a Republican could win in this county at all based on the racial makeup.
Maybe the blacks, Native Americans and Hispanics are finally starting to realize that the Dems are just telling them what they want to hear.
If I was Black or Native American I would be completely BS with the way the Dems care more now about the illegal aliens than they do the blue collar worker.
Sir, this is right up your alley...
I’m not worried about the ground game. When McLame was running, you could hear crickets chirp in the local party headquarters. All that changed with the convention and Sarah’s speech. I was first in the next day at the head of a very long line, ready and willing to do anything they needed done. EVERYONE said they were there because of her. Without Sarah Palin, McLame’s defeat would have set a record. Moral of the story: it’s the candidate, not the machine; at least with the Republicans.
I said Tired AFTER work.
Most of the punditry are paid hawkers. They exist to spread a spin in order to influence the outcome. Our challenge is to sort through all of this to discover what is really going on. The bulk of what we read is throw away stuff. Within what is left, are gems of truth.
If they didn't vote (for the Democrat as expected), that means something different from their voting for the Republican.
The timing of these elections also matters in a big way. New Jersey is a deep blue state and hasn't elected a Republican to the U.S. Senate since (I think) 1972. And yet we have had GOP governors about half the time since then -- because our governors run in "off-off-year" election cycles (2013, 2017, etc.). So the turnout is very low, which means a GOP candidate who can energize voters has a good chance of winning.
The shift away from McCready was the result of disenchantment among minority voters with the Democrat. Moreover, though Robeson was the most obvious,it was by no means the only ethnically diverse county whose voters “walked away.” Nearly 60 percent of Cumberland County’s approximately 333,000 residents are Black, Hispanic, or a member of some other minority group. McCready won it in 2018. Dan Bishop won Cumberland on Tuesday.
Interesting...
Ironically, this may mean that Barack Obama has had a very NEGATIVE effect on Democratic candidates in many races since he was elected ... because he raised the expectations of a lot of black voters who now have no interest in supporting a political candidate who is whiter than Elmer's Glue.
A word of caution. This district cannot be compared with the district of the same name in previous elections. The cannot be more different. From a North-South meandering district skirting on the western edge of Charlotte up to Iredell County in the north, the district was transformed by a court to a strip of NC along the SC border touching the Charlotte suburbs. The judges clearly thought that the high number of Native Americans in Robeson County would turn the district Blue, but they were wrong. History helps to explain it. Unlike most Eastern tribes like the Cherokees who supported the British, the tribes of southern NC were true blooded American Patriots who stood beside their Scots Irish neighbors and fought for Independence. Another example of the dangers of identity politics.
Perhaps, but it’s a trend worth watching. Too early to conclude too much and a year is a very long time in national politics.
But the Rats put up another Manchurian Candidate and unlike in the earlier PA special congressional race, it didn’t work.
Good sign there.
Good points here and in your post #28.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.