A type of Brexit is nearly 100% sure to happen. Even in parliament there is no majority for canceling Brexit.
Now as to hard Brexit — my opinion is that the recent “you must ask for an extension” is nonsensical and won’t fly.
Can you imagine Boris going and saying “Trust me, we need 3 more months”
And the other countries say “Trust you?”
and then they say “what will you do with 3 months that you haven’t done in the past 6 months?”
And the UK has no answer to that.
Hard Brexit - I put at 95% chance of it happened on 31 October
Thanks for the assessment. Let’s hope for their sake it happens! I know I’ll buy British goods where I can if possible.