Posted on 08/20/2019 7:58:22 PM PDT by TexasGurl24
If the R won by 1%, in a district where they win by 15% on average, you wouldn’t be concerned? I sure would be. If you agree, then why doesn’t winning by 25% in that same district mean something? Likewise, if R’s have lost any special elections by a lot less than R’s normally do in some districts, that also means something.
Why R’s are doing well in these races is still open to interpretation. Maybe what we thought might happen last year is now occurring, i.e. many Democrat leaning voters perceive the party’s been captured by lunatics. We can hope anyway.
It’s about getting the vote out. Something the Dems are really, really good about.
These are not battleground districts. More registered Republicans than Democrats.
Nothing to be impressed about.
*****
What a wet blanket!
So glad Trump doesn’t have piss poor attitudes like many that frequent FR!
I’d caution giving too much weight to a small number of local races with low numbers of voters. Completely local issues and individual candidate qualities dwarf the effects of national sentiment in these cases.
They were beyond the level of GOP support for that district, even though it is Red. Shows high enthusiasm among the base.
Good point, underperforming would be a sign of concern. The base is motivated and ready to vote!
No one is overestimating the wins, we just see that the voting base is motivated to vote for the GOP. These are local elections, show the voting should smaller not larger in terms of % then the norm.
“These are not battleground districts. More registered Republicans than Democrats. Nothing to be impressed about.”
Early in Trump’s term, there were a number of Republican Congressmen that joined his administration, and therefore left open their seats. Trump tried to only pick people from ‘safe’ seats, and Republicans held most of them, despite huge Democrat efforts to flip them. But some of them were VERY CLOSE. We didn’t hold our margins. I think we also lost one or two, and not to mention the Alabama Senate seat, although I attribute that to running Roy Moore.
BUT, in those 2 elections last night, we EXPANDED our margins...and that is something to celebrate - at least for people who don’t want to turn over the country to Democrats.
Seats flipped from R to D Pennsylvania State Senate District 37 (April 2)
Seats flipped from R to I Louisiana House of Representatives District 62 (March 30)
Don't forget the Wisconsin Supreme Court seat back in the spring where was all the polls showed the democrat winning by double digits against a pro traditional marriage conservative Christian Republican. Until the votes were actually counted and the Republican won.
it tells me that voters are sick to death of the dying lying leftist fake stream enemedia hysterical lies and propaganda and are NOT buying one iota of it ...
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Agree 100%! What’s discouraging, however, is that there are so many people in this country who simply cannot imagine that the news and entertainment media, the education systems, the unions, and many of the churches and synagogues are indoctrinating them 24/7 with Democrat, Socialist, Communist, globalist anti-American propaganda.
What does this election have to do with Trump?
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It has to do with turnout, because even in a safe Republican district, turnout is key to an overall win in a state for Trump.
bump
Tax-It-All Tommie Wolf is back on the warpath, doing brazenly Leftist things. He had gone into stealth mode for a time after losing some bloody initial battles with the GOP legislature.
The more he acts-up and reminds Pennsylvanians how Liberal he is, the more GOP prospects improve.
A concern is a concern is a concern.
And it’s called being -— REALISTIC!
Let me add one additional factor many gave not considered-— THE FRAUD FACTOR.
In NY, we have a law that allows illegals to obtain driver’s licenses.
To register to vote, all you need is a LEGAL identification. Guess where this takes us...
Thanks. Just posted your data on Twit, reframed, along with the article.
Is that a flip or an open?
Au contraire. CT was a blue district. And the margin of all these victories was higher than in 2016. Plus the LA local seat went R for the first time in decades.
This is in fact the same trend we ignored in 2018, except reversed.
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