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To: DiogenesLamp
Do you really think half of Alabama's Trump voters are gonna split their ticket?

Just for clarification, how was it he lost the last go 'round?

66 posted on 06/26/2019 7:23:35 AM PDT by going hot (happiness is a momma deuce)
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To: going hot
Just for clarification, how was it he lost the last go 'round?

Here is an interesting comparison, rightly or wrongly:

Joe Lieberman lost his primary race in 2006, his first race since losing with Gore in 2000 (excepting his early Presidential run in 2004 before dropping out). In Connecticut, the Democrat primary turnout was so low that the far-left candidate won. Lieberman left the party and ran in the general election as an independent where he won. Lieberman retired at the end of that term.

The vote count is illustrative. In the primary, Lieberman got 136,468 votes, and his opponent Ned Lamont got 146,587, for a total primary vote of 283,055.

In the general election, Lieberman got 564,095 to Lamont's 450,844, with the Republican getting 109,198. Both Lieberman and Lamont each got TWICE what two combined got in the primary.

Compare this to Alabama's usual turnout versus the special election in 2017.

In the 2017 special election, Moore got 651,972 votes to Jones' 673,896, for a total of 1,325,868 votes cast.

In 2016, Donald Trump got 1,318,255 votes to Hillary Clinton's 729,547 votes. Clinton beat both Moore and Jones, and Trump practically tied Moore's and Jones' combined vote.

The take-away is that special elections and unusual primaries often have unique characteristics that do not carry forward into normal general elections. It's hard to use the 2017 special election as a predictor of 2020 election results when the electorate will be so vastly different.

-PJ

70 posted on 06/26/2019 7:52:37 AM PDT by Political Junkie Too (The 1st Amendment gives the People the right to a free press, not CNN the right to the 1st question.)
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To: going hot
Just for clarification, how was it he lost the last go 'round?

Are you asking sincerely, or are you just trying to make a lame point?

If you are asking sincerely, i'll lay down the dynamics for you.

1. Off year elections never do as well as Presidential elections. "Special Elections" do even worse.

2. Media liars convinced huge numbers of people that Moore was "creepy" and or criminal by constant repetition of unproven accusations, and usually with great drama and a "The Women must be believed!" presentation.

3. Republican party officials accepted these unproven accusations and cut off his funding, made a public show of sending Doug Jones money, Got on Television and told people to vote for anyone but Roy Moore.

4. Democrats engaged in quite a lot of election fraud in getting up to their 670,000 votes. People were bused in from other states to vote for Jones.

The entire national media propaganda weapon was focused on Moore, and few could withstand that sort of constant pounding. In a Presidential election, the media would not have had the time to focus on a mere Senate candidate to such a degree, because they would have been busy attacking Trump.

Huge expenditures of outside money from Liberals all across America were trying to win this so as to rebuke Donald Trump's election win, so they were highly motivated to win this, and they were willing to resort to every lie and trick in their arsenal to accomplish it.

Gloria Allred flew out from California to make a big splash presentation to make the accusation that Roy Moore attempted to rape her client, and of course this was shown on all the national television news programs.

Now we have had Kavanaugh, and people realized that the Democrats will absolutely make up ridiculous accusations against someone to win a political battle.

"Brett Kavanaugh accused of drugging women who were then gang-raped"


71 posted on 06/26/2019 7:53:46 AM PDT by DiogenesLamp ("of parents owing allegiance to no o<ither sovereignty.")
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