I like Ted. I even voted for him in the ‘16 primary, but the fact that he thinks Beto could win the Dem nomination raises serious questions about the value of Ted’s analysis of the situation. Beto is a joke of a
candidate (among many joke candidates). No one is (or should be) taking him seriously at this point. The only way Ted’s inclusion of him is not a sign of serious delusional thinking on Ted’s part is that if Ted is merely being self-serving (e.g.,”Boy, that guy I just beat last years sure is a powerhouse. Yea, me.”).
Its still very early, though. I think their ticket will be Harris-Buttigieg when the dust settles, but at the moment Biden and Bernie are at the top of their slate. I could be wrong, but if identity politics are what theyre going to be about in 2020, thats about the kind of team I expect them to rally behind.
If Beto or Warren somehow emerge from this, I think Trump wins handily.
As long as Trump keeps his connection with his base and keeps them energized, I think he wins no matter who he faces.
That said, I too worry about Trump's over-nasty tweeting his way to losing in 2020 and taking down many good Republicans with him.
Why oh why can't Trump attack tweet without the off putting personal nastiness. The plain truth is all he needs to tweet.
I think Cruz is taking his none too comfortable win over Beto as an indicator of democrat strength. I think it was an indicator of Cruz’s relative unpopularity when compared to somebody like Gov. Abbott who ran in the same statewide election in 2018 and won big.
Remember Beto was so strong, or Cruz so weak, that Cruz only won Texas by 2.5% of the total vote.