3 forecast modelers predict Trump will win in 2020

axios ^ | May 27,2019

[Hojczyk]

Steven Rattner, "car czar" and counselor to the Treasury secretary in the Obama administration, cites three different modelers in his N.Y. Times commentary, "Trump’s Formidable 2020 Tailwind."

The big picture: Trump wins all three modelers. Economists predict that the tailwind is large.

Ray Fair, a professor at Yale, "found that the growth rates of gross domestic product and inflation have been the two most important economic predictors — but he also found that incumbency was also an important determinant of presidential election outcomes."

"Mark Zandi, the chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, has looked at 12 models, and Mr. Trump wins in all of them."

"Donald Luskin of Trend Macrolytics has reached the same conclusion in his examination of the Electoral C

[Hojczyk]

Might as well just flip a coin....it’s eighteen months till the election

[Don Corleone]

If Trump doesn’t win then this nation is more Effed up than it is possible to imagine.

[jmclemore]

The left will never believe they are in the minority. They claim winning elections prove they are majority, While dismissing a loss as either low turn out or voter suppression. They will never except an electorial mandate that doesn't support their agenda.

The left will soon be desperate enough excuse murder, imprisonment and confiscation of private property as a justified response to political opposition.

Today's Democratic party can not fund government without the economic engine of slavery. They simply do not understand the idea of "earning it".

It is time for reasonable democrats to make a choice. Evict the socialist squatters in their party or walk away and rebuild it.

[romanesq]

Who cares. Let’s work hard to make Trump’s re-election a reality.
The nihilist Left can go cry in their soy milk.

Pray, fight and buy more ammo.

[Mark]

So, like Globull Warming, the consensus is in. No debate allowed to liberals.

[353FMG]

No Trump — no progress.

[CptnObvious]

The American people don't like to be told what to do and they rally against those unjustly attacked. The leftist media cabal is trying desperately to do that and Trump AND HIS FAMILY are unjustly under attack.

Not only this but he has protected us while they work for our enemies and he has helped our wallets - JOBS - TAX CUTS.

He DESERVES our outright and active support.

The DemocRAT Politicians deserve our derision.

[Monty22002]

And Trump is very bullish on space. If a dem gets in, they might cancel everything like Hussein did and we’d be screwed again and lose to the Chinese.

[Fresh Wind]

In other words, a more “normal” Republican would likely have won the popular vote by a substantial margin (instead of losing it by three million votes).

Horse****.

Trump was the ONLY Republican who could have won in 2016.

[chimera]

The left will never believe they are in the minority. They claim winning elections prove they are majority, While dismissing a loss as either low turn out or voter suppression. They will never except an electorial mandate that doesn't support their agenda.

This viewpoint is supported by the reaction of the liberals to their blowout losses in 1972 and 1984. In the face of a 49 state wipeout, they simply claimed that Nixon and Reagan won "personal" victories. They could not accept that their candidates were massively reputed by the voting public. They carried that "no mandate" banner all they way into the next election cycle.

Yet the 'Rats will often "win" (by cheating) an election by the narrowest of margins and shout "mandate" from the rooftops. They know their ideology is utterly bankrupt, so they appeal to popularity (e.g., "I won").

[central_va]

Trump in a 1984 style landslide.