Posted on 05/17/2019 9:38:28 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Reposting this trash as breaking news doesn’t do anything but spread the media propaganda and give it legitimacy.
You also seem to have a consistent habit of looking for the worse possible headlines and blog posts from Analpundit and reposting them. I wonder why.
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I agree with both comments. Spreading this garbage is exactly what the producers of it are hoping is done.
So the 37-year-old mayor of the fourth-largest city in Indiana, with zero accomplishments, known only for kissing his boyfriend in public and attacking other people over their religious beliefs (and for looking like Alfred E. Neuman), is only one point behind President Trump? Really?
Registered voters - another hit job on Trump.....
The Media does not like DJT so they will always have him losing...
I look at all these democrats and there isn't one that will survive a DJT debate...
My opinion and I'll stick with it...
As for Joe Biden he won't make it thru the year...he is aged and feeble and looks very ill...He just doesn't have the stamina to keep up with all the younger candidates...wait until they begin attacking him...it will happen...
File under “Cankles will win the election” polling.
Again, the AVERAGE error of pollsters in WI was 6; the AVERAGE error of pollsters in FL this past governor/senate race was about 3-—yet every single one erred in the same direction. Imagine that.
The only pollster to call the 2016 race right was Richard Baris of PPD, who had Cankles at 1.5% national lead but had Trump winning FL, NC, OH, PA, and MI. (He missed WI. Not one pollster, anywhere, had Trump winning WI).
The AVERAGE error in OH was 4 points. Not one pollster had Trump over 5 points in OH, but he won by 9.
Baris, however does confirm one thing: Rs are totally fired up. But DemoKKKrats? Not so much. He finds D voter enthusiasm waning.
Finally, I think if the nominee is Biteme he will have a serious contender from the left. There are too many whacky libs who see him as an extension of Cankles to not run against him. If the candidate is Dinobernie, he will have a 3rd party opponent from the right, probably Howard Schultz. Either way, the DemoKKKrat candidate is going to lose about 4-5 points to a third party candidate.
Considering Trump is at 51% Zogby, between 45 and 53% (Ras), and averaging 46% in Harris and RISING in every single poll, that doesn’t leave much room for Biteme.
Here in The Alamo City, I personally know NOBODY who responds to “restricted” and/or “unidentified” phone numbers.
IF the pollsters wanted REAL DATA, they would send out written polls & PAY respondents to complete/return those responses.
(Even a single dollar bill gets people to respond in large numbers. = In some “paid studies”, as many as 80% sent back the filled-out forms. Some respondents even returned the dollar bill.)
Note: When I was in grad school, one of my classmates in Political Science did her thesis on “public attitudes” of voters in Arkansas & Mississippi city/county elections. = “Bunny” B__________ sent out a 2-dollar bill in each envelope of 1,000 randomly selected registered voters, explaining in a letter that the study was in partial fulfillment of the requirements for her Masters degree. - (She got an almost 88% response & about 20% of returned forms included the 2.dollar bill.)
Pardon me for suggesting that MOST political pollsters are NOT really interested in REAL/ACCURATE responses. Rather, they are often mostly interested in attempting to find evidence that their PRE-CONCEPTIONS are correct.
Yours, TMN78247
Here in The Alamo City, I personally know NOBODY who responds to “restricted” and/or “unidentified” phone numbers.
IF the pollsters wanted REAL DATA, they would send out written polls & PAY respondents to complete/return those responses.
(Even a single dollar bill gets people to respond in large numbers. = In some “paid studies”, as many as 80% sent back the filled-out forms. Some respondents even returned the dollar bill.)
Note: When I was in grad school, one of my classmates in Political Science did her thesis on “public attitudes” of voters in Arkansas & Mississippi city/county elections. = “Bunny” B__________ sent out a 2-dollar bill in each envelope od randomly selected registered voters, explaining that the study was in partial fulfillment of the requirements for her Masters degree. - She got an 88% response & about 20% of returned forms included the 2.dollar bill.
Yours, TMN78247
People discount polls by pointing to the 2016 election. That’s a mistake. The polls in 2016 were more accurate than people think. The RCP average showed Hillary up by 3 and she did win by 3% nationally.
The polls were indeed off in Wisconsin and Iowa, but they were accurate in most other places. They showed trump winning Ohio although they understated his final margin. They showed a close race in Penn. They were almost dead on in Florida.
I’m not saying Biden is up 11, but it’s wrong to simply discount a poll like this.
So, in your opinion people in these key states really prefer Biden over Trump?
The media is a powerful force, and even independent studies have shown coverage of the president to be over 90% negative FOR THE PAST THREE YEARS.
40% of the electorate will automatically vote for any Democrat running. And 40% will vote for our president next year.
It’s the middle that the media is targeting, and makes any election close and scary. As you read these polls, remember, too...California, New York and Illinois are going to give Democrats a huge advantage in the raw totals.
But, as we learned in the last election, it’s the electoral vote that counts.
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