Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

UK cannot simply trade on WTO terms after no-deal Brexit, say experts
theguardian.com ^ | January 27, 2019 | Amelia Hill

Posted on 01/27/2019 2:15:36 PM PST by Berlin_Freeper

The UK will be unable to have frictionless, tariff-free trade under World Trade Organization rules for up to seven years in the event of a no-deal Brexit, according to two leading European Union law specialists.

The ensuing chaos could double food prices and plunge Britain into a recession that could last up to 30 years, claim the lawyers who acted for Gina Miller in the historic case that forced the government to seek parliament’s approval to leave the EU.

It has been claimed that the UK could simply move to WTO terms if there is no deal with the EU. But Anneli Howard, a specialist in EU and competition law at Monckton Chambers and a member of the bar’s Brexit working group, believes this isn’t true.

“No deal means leaving with nothing,” she said. “The anticipated recession will be worse than the 1930s, let alone 2008. It is impossible to say how long it would go on for. Some economists say 10 years, others say the effects could be felt for 20 or even 30 years: even ardent Brexiters agree it could be decades.”

The government’s own statistics have estimated that under the worst case no-deal scenario, GDP would be 10.7% lower than if the UK stays in the EU, in 15 years.

(Excerpt) Read more at theguardian.com ...


TOPICS: United Kingdom
KEYWORDS: brexit; eu
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-50 next last
UK is leaving the EU for sovereignty but Brexiteers want "World Trade Organization rules". How about United Kingdom Trade Organization rules? Hmm?
1 posted on 01/27/2019 2:15:36 PM PST by Berlin_Freeper
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Berlin_Freeper

The Gaurdian -read no further.


2 posted on 01/27/2019 2:18:41 PM PST by gibsonguy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Berlin_Freeper

I suspect strongly that a no-deal Brexit will have economically beneficial results for Britain.


3 posted on 01/27/2019 2:18:55 PM PST by arthurus (re)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Berlin_Freeper

Hey, UK, Over here

Join NAFTA.


4 posted on 01/27/2019 2:21:07 PM PST by Pontiac (The welfare state must fail because it is contrary to human nature and diminishes the human spirit)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Berlin_Freeper

Folks, remember this when your globalist friends start insisting that we need to consider the global community. It’s for our own good.


5 posted on 01/27/2019 2:21:51 PM PST by dhs12345
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: dhs12345

Don’t sweat the small stuff


6 posted on 01/27/2019 2:23:26 PM PST by bert ( (KE. N.P. N.C. +12) Honduras must be invaded to protect America from invasion)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: arthurus
I suspect strongly that a no-deal Brexit will have economically beneficial results for Britain.

I hope the US and UK are working behind the scenes to do what we can to ease the transition - IMO, it is in our interest to do so.

And, maybe when some of the other EU members see how well it worked out for the Brits, they will seriously consider their own exit. Maybe this is why the anti-exit types are predicting Doom and Gloom.

7 posted on 01/27/2019 2:23:31 PM PST by Oatka
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Pontiac

No deal, no WTO and no NAFTA.
That leaves pirating.


8 posted on 01/27/2019 2:24:05 PM PST by Berlin_Freeper
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Berlin_Freeper

Bwahaha! The fear mongering here is epic.


9 posted on 01/27/2019 2:27:54 PM PST by 9YearLurker
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Berlin_Freeper

I suspect President Trump will give them a great trade deal if they ask. I’ve shopped in the EU - high prices, limited selection. They would be much better off trading fairly with the US.


10 posted on 01/27/2019 2:37:55 PM PST by Pollster1 ("Governments derive their just powers from the consent of the governed")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: gibsonguy
The ensuing chaos could double food prices and plunge Britain into a recession that could last up to 30 years

That is total crap from the Guardian. The UK has robust trade with the United States and many other nations that are not part of European Community. The UK is a net subsidizer to the European Community and not a net beneficiary. France sure as hell will not refuse to sell their cheese (they make good cheese) wine, Puegots etc. to the UK. If France imposes great taxes on UK products the UK will do the same to France, Germany etc.

This is nothing but scare tactics by the hard left wing Guardian which is a one worlder newspaper. The original concept of the European Economic Community was brilliant. It promoted free trade and commerce among its members. It was wildly successful. It slowly morphed into "European Government," which today is called the European Union. That is why the new European Union is failing. Individual nations do not want other nations determining their individual domestic policies and laws.

11 posted on 01/27/2019 2:41:32 PM PST by cpdiii ( canecutter, deckhand, roughneck, geologist, pilot, pharmacist THE CONSTITUTION IS WORTH DYING FOR)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Berlin_Freeper

Also, the boogey man will get them, and then climate change.


12 posted on 01/27/2019 2:43:25 PM PST by BeauBo
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Berlin_Freeper

If you insist on freedom from the Globalist rulers you will be starved.

( I think Stalin had a similar program)


13 posted on 01/27/2019 2:43:50 PM PST by A strike (I DEMAND my responsibilities!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: cpdiii

I forgot to add, Norway is not a member of the European Union. They have negotiated their individual trade deals with the Union Nations. Norway is economically robust today.


14 posted on 01/27/2019 2:50:33 PM PST by cpdiii ( canecutter, deckhand, roughneck, geologist, pilot, pharmacist THE CONSTITUTION IS WORTH DYING FOR)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: Berlin_Freeper
a recession that could last up to 30 years

Hyperbole much?

15 posted on 01/27/2019 2:55:23 PM PST by glorgau
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Berlin_Freeper

The Guardian...faithful servant of Europe’s Swamp since 1688.


16 posted on 01/27/2019 2:58:49 PM PST by Gay State Conservative (Mitt Romney: Bringing Massachusetts Values To The Great State Of Utah.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: BeauBo
The ensuing chaos could double food prices and plunge Britain into a recession that could last up to 30 years

"The world will end in twelveteen years INNYWAY!!"

17 posted on 01/27/2019 3:06:39 PM PST by Fightin Whitey
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: Berlin_Freeper

The ensuing chaos could double food prices and plunge Britain into a recession that could last up to 30 years, claim the lawyers who acted for Gina Miller in the historic case that forced the government to seek parliament’s approval to leave the EU.
**********************************************
They’re laying on the bull crap so deep that it’s time to get out the hip boots. This gloom and doom campaign was highly predictable.

Does anyone remember the doom and gloom predictions that said the nations that didn’t prepare for “Y2K”? Well, the year 2000 arrived and things didn’t fall apart in Italy, Bulgaria, etc., etc. BREXIT will likely also be ANTICLIMACTIC!


18 posted on 01/27/2019 3:08:50 PM PST by House Atreides (Boycott the NFL 100% — PERMANENT)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Berlin_Freeper

A deal will be made. If it has problems it will be modified.
There’s way too much wealth and economic well being involved on both sides to go naked.


19 posted on 01/27/2019 3:18:33 PM PST by SaxxonWoods (The internet has driven the world mad.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Berlin_Freeper

And neither can the Reich...oops, I mean the EU.


20 posted on 01/27/2019 3:20:48 PM PST by DesertRhino (Dog is man's best friend, and moslems hate dogs. Add that up. ....)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-50 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson