Add 5 to 8 percentage points to the Republican in any polling data that’s released free of charge to the public.
I took my senior level college stats course from one of his staff. The prof was pretty good herself but in awe of how good Wirthlin delivered and delivered consistently, within 1/2 of 1%!
Best story ever is that Wirthlin told Reagan he was within a 0.5% margin to sweep all 50 states in 1984 and 1-2 visits to Minnesota would do it. Reagan brushed him off as his schedule was full trying to pull congressional candidates over the finish line. But he did finally agree to schedule a "refueling stop/campaign rally" in Rochester, Minnesota on election eve en route back to California.
Rochester because it was in the southeastern corner of the state and the short speech would be delivered in time for the 10 pm news. Mondale's final margin: 0.18% or 3,761 votes in HIS HOME STATE where Mondale had never lost an election (until he stood in for Paul Wellstone some 18 years later).
Agreed. I think the media is spinning for ratings and they will do it thru Tuesday evening.
Emerson, who the hell is that? Some lefty college??
Everyone should keep track of these numbers and in the future, remind the nation of which polls were hilariously structured and utilized only to try and influence the election, not measure the reality...this is going to be one of those that will be held up to ridicule next election season.
Everyone should keep track of these numbers and in the future, remind the nation of which polls were hilariously structured and utilized only to try and influence the election, not measure the reality...this is going to be one of those that will be held up to ridicule next election season.