D-55,575 (42.4%)
R-51,771 (39.5%)
I-23,676 (18.1%)
2016 EARLY/ABSENTEE ENTIRE FIRST WEEK:
D-167,913 (43.7%)
R-140,792 (36.6%)
I-75,408 (19.6%)
Still 4 days left in this first week for early voting. Compared to 2016 first week, D down 1.4%, R up 2.9%, I down 1.5%. Nevada SOS has updated with all counties including rurals reporting as of 10/22. I know LS was wondering about that. Nothing for today yet.
Trending favorably but still four days left in this first week...
By gross numbers, D had 27,200 advantage in 2016. This year that advantage so far is 3,800. There were 1.125 million votes in 2016. We won't hit that this year of course - my prediction is 700,000 to 800,000 (we'll see if I'm right). It was about 500,000 in 2014. We are way past 2014.
Any comments welcome.
Any thoughts...
Wow
Long lines at the Raley’s in Golden Valley/Reno North Valleys. 25 minutes minimum. Hasn’t been like this that I remember.
If you don’t believe in the Hispanic Shift, this will not mean anything to you. The Latino population of Nevada is 27%.
Heller is plus 7. Fake polls will always show a Republican down if they possibly can.
Trump has a 52% approval rating in Nevada.
Numbers are trending in the right direction.
Just in general, we’re used to electing Republican governors (Sandoval literally won by like 50 points, like Hillary though she should), and Laxalt is a well-known name. So Laxalt should win over that sleazy Sisolak, and carry Dean Heller with him. We’re also not used to having 2 Dem Senators (Harry Reid, and now his acolyte Cortez-Maesto was always enough). I wish the polls showed better, but they are currently positive for Heller, and I just don’t think this state is going to become another California with one-party rule (at least not yet).
It’s going to be close, but I have to think Heller’s going to take this. There are tons of ads on the internet and TV about Wacky Jacky being another Pelosi puppet, wanting to be promoted to Chuckie puppet. That being said, I’m dragging every right-thinking person I know to the polls.
It gives Democrats an exact number of votes they need to manufacture or steal.
Looks very good.
Need to keep the percentages closer than in 2016. Those small margins may be the difference in NV.