Kavanaugh has been on the GOP-E short list for the USSC for a long time. Don’t count on any actual change of heart from Graham and McConnell.
Heller v. D.C. - Appeals (2010-2011, not the 2008 case)
https://www.cadc.uscourts.gov/internet/opinions.nsf/DECA496973477C748525791F004D84F9/%24file/10-7036-1333156.pdf#page=46
[Excerpts:]
KAVANAUGH, Circuit Judge, dissenting:...
[...]
In my judgment, both D.C.s ban on semi-automatic rifles and its gun registration requirement are unconstitutional under Heller.
In Heller, the Supreme Court held that handguns the vast majority of which today are semi-automatic are constitutionally protected because they have not traditionally been banned and are in common use by law-abiding citizens. There is no meaningful or persuasive constitutional distinction between semi-automatic handguns and semi-automatic rifles. Semi-automatic rifles, like semi-automatic handguns, have not traditionally been banned and are in common use by law-abiding citizens for self-defense in the home, hunting, and other lawful uses. Moreover, semi-automatic handguns are used in connection with violent crimes far more than semi-automatic rifles are. It followsfrom Hellers protection of semi-automatic handguns that semi-automatic rifles are also constitutionally protected and that D.C.s ban on them is unconstitutional.
[...]
In my view, Heller and McDonald leave little doubt that courts are to assess gun bans and regulations based on text, history, and tradition, not by a balancing test such as strict or intermediate scrutiny.
Kavanaugh has been on the GOP-E short list for the USSC for a long time. Dont count on any actual change of heart from Graham and McConnell.
This is the key point here. This is not a MAGA nominee we are talking about that The Turtle is doing heavy lifting for.
Tbis really shows how little chance a MAGA SCOTUS nominee would have getting confirmed in the current beltway sewer environment. POTUS is doing a great job with the cards he has been dealt, IMO.