Posted on 07/02/2018 8:33:51 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
Most observers take Xi Jinping’s ascension from China’s president to dictator as a sign of China’s national strength. But I see things differently — to the chagrin of even some members of my staff.
Dictatorships are not imposed on healthy systems — especially in China. Historically, as China rises, it loses stability. When it loses stability, it installs a dictator. The dictator may take the form of an emperor or party chairman, but he is dictator nonetheless. It is in this context that I have begun to form a tentative theory: that Xi Jinping’s strength is a facade.
One of the hallmarks of the Xi administration is his anti-corruption campaign. In truth, it is a good old-fashioned political purge, meant to remove those adversely affected by Xi’s efforts to settle the financial system and those who remain committed to the policies of former leader Deng Xiaoping. In other words, moderate liberals and internationalists.
These factions see Chinese integration into the international economic system as a necessary component of modernization and prosperity. And no component of the Chinese political system is more attached to this internationalist posture than China’s diplomats — the very same diplomats Xi personally warnedrecently about straying from Communist Party directives.
Beneath the facade, China’s reality is far grimmer. Much of the population still lives in poverty. A significant component of the Chinese economic elite stand to suffer from Xi’s reforms. And China’s professors, diplomats, and local government officials, especially on the coast, are nervous about the direction in which Xi is steering the country.
Combined, these three groups could threaten Communist Party rule. To stop the threat from materializing, Xi must prevent a coalition from forming against him. This means a constant shifting of economic policy and political purges that aim to rectify China’s structural economic problems
(Excerpt) Read more at marketwatch.com ...
Yes. And same goes for Putin. These regimes thrive right now largely due to Western weakness.
China is awaiting her Constantine.
The Chinese have made an enormous investment in their military, squandered huge amounts of capital in deteriorating “ghost cities”, have chronic energy problems and still do not have a trustworthy banking system that allocates capital properly. Right now their economy is hard pressed. Trump is pressing them at the right time.
Americans know more about the life of General Secretary Xi than former president 0bama.
"I cannot forecast to you the action of Russia. It is a riddle, wrapped in a mystery, inside an enigma; but perhaps there is a key. That key is Russian national interest."
W Churchill
Same mother different brother.
“But unlike in the West, where the media follows the daily melodrama like a dog, the media in China are directly controlled by Beijing,”
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Laughable.
Media in America were not directly controlled by WH, during Obama era.
Cheers for the free press in the West.
Dictatorships are not imposed on healthy systems — especially in China. Historically, as China rises, it loses stability. When it loses stability, it installs a dictator. The dictator may take the form of an emperor or party chairman, but he is dictator nonetheless. It is in this context that I have begun to form a tentative theory: that Xi Jinping’s strength is a facade.
And, from Winston Churchill...
“Dictators ride to and fro upon tigers which they dare not dismount. And the tigers are getting hungry.”
China is completely dominating.
We need to take back our manufacturing. Or America will slowly shrivel up and eventually stop leadership.
That is what is happening right now. Trump is addressing the issue, for the first time in the last generation and a half.
But make no mistake, China is growing very powerful. I do not see any weakness, in the current government.
Heck, they have consistently taken America to the cleaners.
They now run the largest trade surplus in the history of the WORLD, with America.
The largest.
Ever.
By any country. With any country. In history.
That is not any sort of sign, of weakness.
Not at all.
China is a House of Cards.
I disagree.
Our industrial base, is in large part moved there.
They are very strong. Do not underestimate what we are up against.
Not at all. But it will only get worse, from here.
Xi bump
Very interesting!
Horse excretion.
The article is a collection of facts, insights, and surmises about China that are not fully integrated into a larger theory. Moreover, they cannot be seen as downplaying China’s menace to the US. China indisputably has developed a substantial modern industrial base and a vast capital surplus and is increasing her military and geopolitical power.
with nearly 30 years of mfg experience I would argue that YES manufacturing has moved there, BUT not all manufactruring.l. I was looking to potentially buy 5 manufacutrer’s in Ohio alone this past year... solid customer base prior to the tax breaks. I’ve been to the Chinese facilities ... many aren’t up to par... they pump out product and anticipate failure...independent of use. Most of my background is med device. I shudder at what I find there that is accepted as supplied.
We have more than enough opportunities to reverse the flow.
RE: Horse excretion
That’s it? No explanation as to why?
@SEAKANDFIND
Have you ever been to China? I have. I’ve been living in China for friggin’ 15 years.
When you read news written by people who are in an echo chamber, who’s only news about China comes from others in that very same chamber, it starts to take on a flavor, a scent... a smell... a stench.
It’s like when you read about a Democrat screaming about impeaching Trump because... Like Mad Maxine. It has an air of predictability about it. A sense of nonsense that you just immediate discount as bullshit.
Same thing as issues relating to China.
Dude, I’d hate to break it to you, but unless you have been here, seeing what is going on, being around people SOCIALLY, and staying away from the propaganda artists in the major American universities and employed by the Brits in Washington Think Tanks, you are just manipulated cattle.
I cannot even begin to underline the obvious lies, assumptions, and partial half-truths that dominate the context of the article. Rather than do so, I just called it was it was, and then left my computer, went down the street and got a coffee at “Pacific Coffee”. China is not as all what you think it is I mean, IT REALLY... REALLY... isn’t.
RE: Have you ever been to China? I have. I’ve been living in China for friggin’ 15 years.
Yes I have. Unlike you, I have never LIVED there, but I have visited China many times.
I prefer to live in what I call FREE CHINA (AKA Taiwan ).
I have also been many times to Hongkong. I lived and work in Taiwan many years, travelling back and forth from the island to Hongkong, Shenzen and even Shanghai and Hangzhou.
FYI, I speak two Chinese dialects — Mandarin and Taiwanese. My reading and writing of Chinese is passable ( although I still prefer the traditional way of writing Chinese instead of the simplified Jien Ti Zhi ).
So, speaking about being with Chinese SOCIALLY, I have been and am already doing that.
I deal with the Chinese all the time (both China proper and Taiwan ).
The only quibble I have with this article is its underestimation of the determination of China to expand its military and influence around the world.
However, when this article talks about the underlying economic and demographic problems facing China, I can tell you honestly even the Chinese THEMSELVES ARE AWARE OF THIS PROBLEM.
Even as we speak, India will overtake China as the most populous country in the world ( if it has not already done so ).
Heck I know many rich Chinese who are trying to repatriate their money OUT of the country. BTW, just go to Australia and New Zealand, and come to New York and you understand why real estate values keep going up in these places (HINT: It’s not all American citizens buying ). It might be of interest for you to ask WHY money is flowing out...
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