[deport]

His five reasons for the 40 state win prediction

1. Jobs
2. He Will Garner Record African American Support
3. His Base Is Strongest Of The Era
4. Stronger Might, Less War, Safer World
5. Foreign Policy Dominance

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[Alberta's Child]

Those are good reasons, but they aren’t good enough for him to win in pathologically Democratic states like New York, Illinois, California, most of New England, etc.