First of all, there is a large proportion of the citizenry ( mostly millenials) who don't know who is Mrs. Pelosi. Further, even if you've heard of her I don't think the threat of her becoming Speaker is enough to movitvate someone to vote R.
The fact of the matter is that relentless bashing by the press and Hollywood is having the opposite impact. Trump's numbers remain high. A few weeks ago Reuters put a virtual asterisk on a poll because Trump's approval went up a lot. Other polls since then have followed suit. And if that wasn't surprising to the uneducated, Jimmy Kimmel seemed to have realized the schtick isn't working.
It's hard to pinpoint the cause, but a lot of this happened right around the time of Parkland. My guess is the anti-gun narrative clashed very hard with the facts. Throw the Hogg et al faces of the opposition into the mix, and counter it all with a good economy, and that's how we got here.
Luntz needs to recalibrate his models OR give Trump some credit.
I don't think millennials will turn out en mass for a mid-term election, unless the focal point the democrats run on is that by taking the House, the can impeach Trump. Apparently, impeachment isn't polling well, and therefore the democrats will not play that card in the run up to the election. Hence, the republicans are going to hold serve and probably pick up a few seats.
“but this is really stupid. First of all, there is a large proportion of the citizenry ( mostly millennials) who don’t know who is Mrs. Pelosi. Further, even if you’ve heard of her I don’t think the threat of her becoming Speaker is enough to motivate someone to vote R. The fact of the matter is that relentless bashing by the press and Hollywood is having the opposite impact. Trump’s numbers remain high.”
agree 100%.
and add to the above that the number of people who mistrust the leftist fake stream media is at all time high, and that they’ve turned to alternative sources, so therefore are also very well aware of all the many campaign promises Trump has kept and all the many things he’s done to Make America Great Again despite the fact that these positive results are almost never mentioned by the leftist fake stream media ...