The logical fallacy is “Post hoc ergo propter hoc.”
You commit the inverse: you see something, and suppose it to be the result of an also-presumed cause, yet you have no substantiation for either your supposition or your presumption.
By that standard of logic we can arrive next at disreputable locales in which the Earth is flat, man never went to the Moon, and you’ll have Sasquatch to tea.
Imminently applicable, here, is the timeworn admonition to “Keep it real.” Conservatives rarely appear more loony than when giving factual status to slipshod guesses, and this is such a credibility destroyer — it’s such bad optics — we cannot afford to indulge it in the least. The instant we do, some media outlet will spin it up into a fresh tempest of oh-so-pious holier-then-thou-ism for leftists to bludgeon Conservatism with.
I’ve no problem with guesses, but do state them openly as such. Don’t ingratiate any idea with factual status unless it shows up to the ball with Stone Cold Proof on its arm.
Wow ... talk about going off course.
Volumes have been written on the conditions in Gaza. Go .. research.