I’ve been pretty skeptical of this blue wave for a while. There just aren’t that many swing Congressional districts these days.
On the negative side, 40 GOP seats have flipped D in special elections this year. Hopefully the bleeding has been staunched and isn’t a sign of what to expect come November.
On the positive, GOP voter enthusiasm is finally beginning to match and may exceed Democrat voter enthusiasm by the time November rolls around.
History however is against Trump and the GOP. The party in power usually loses seats in mid-term years. Sole exceptions were the 1934 and 2002 elections.
People vote their pocketbooks so if the economy stays the same or strengthens by November, the GOP will likely retain control of Congress. If not, all bets are off.
Bottom line: as long as 57% think the country is going in the right direction, I don’t see a Blue Wave emerging in the future.