Not even close. The blue wave is getting smaller, as if that were possible. Soon it’ll be an undertow.
There have been at least 8 special elections at this point and several more to go; by my count, the R’s have won 6 of the 8; losing just the one Senate Seat in Alabama and the one House Seat in PA last month. In both cases, the R candidates were flawed, or were defined by their opponents as flawed (AL). In PA, the R candidate had the personality of a tree stump; and he was running against a tall, lanky, energetic young man; and still lost by only 629 votes. The D’s needed to spend every penny of those millions of dollars for that pyrrhic victory - if just 315 people had not changed their minds since the prior election, all they would have is their seat-warmer in AL, who is sure to get blown-out in a bid for re-election.