[Dave W]

Gosh, the news was correct. That's just basic politics. This is a heavily republican district. Since it is a heavily republican district, it should be a big win. If it is a win for the pub, but close, then that is a signal that the republicans are weak going into the midterms. It also does several other things: it energizes the democrats even more. Democrat donors will begin donating more money and more often. For those potential candidates who are on the fence about running, a narrow repub win in a district that should be a landslide may persuade them to jump into their contest because they may then think they may be able to win their own race.

There are now about 40 open pub seats, which is alot of open seats. An open seat is easier for the opposition to win and by having a favorable electoral climate, the dems are able to attract better candidates, which gives them a better chance of winning.

So yes, a narrow republican win is not good in a district that should be a landslide win.

[kaktuskid]

Special elections are a different animal than a general election - a lot of people don’t know there is an election today

[freepersup]

I don’t think a close margin means much in this election.

I voted (Surprise, AZ) as an early vote, walk in for Lesko.

My brother (Independent) was reminded by me to vote today- he didn’t.

Looks like about a 25%-30% turn out rate.

About 100,000 early votes to date.

Approx. 450,000 registered voters.

35,000 GOP 30,000 DEM 25,000 IND (Tally from a couple of weeks ago = 90K)

Lots of Lesko signs at the major intersections. (signs don’t vote)

Pennsylvania, wasn’t a blue wave (500 vote margin) anymore than Alabama was (no GOPe support/media onslaught/Moore didn’t fight the smears).

Democrats are DESPERATE! (see DNC lawsuit).

I predict Lesko by 7.5 points.

My take is there isn’t a high degree of enthusiasm for Lesko.

I sense some voter apathy in general for this special election.

http://results.arizona.vote/#/featured/6/0