Never, never forget that the most accurate polls are of likely voters. Not mentioned here. Likely voters always favor the GOP. Even more so for midterm elections.
Also, and more importantly, the generic ballot is not a good indicator of the House. In 2012 the GOP won the House by 33 seats and lost the overall vote for the House by a point. In 2016 the GOP won the House by 59 seats and won the overall House vote by only a point.
Things are not dire. At least for now.
Things are not dire. At least for now.
Very interesting data. Thanks for posting.
Any chance you have the figures for that great year of 2010?