I don’t care what any poll says. This election will win or lose on turnout.
There is no doubt in my mind most traditional and left wing democrats will crawl over glass to vote. Republicans need to make sure R voters show up and that I and democratic MAGA voters show up to ensure the win.
I have my personal concerns that the messaging by the Republican Party and pacs is not what it should be to ensure those voters come to the polls.
This election will be far closer than it should be, and if those MAGA voters don’t show up... Lamb could win and messaging will be why
This is my district, PA-18 has shown a flip to the dems in the past, approximately 15 years ago the Democrats took a solid state seat after some confusion in the local Republican party involving a bitter Republican primary fight to oust a wishy washy Republican incumbent, but when the Democratic winner resigned after two terms to go into private business, the Republicans took that seat back and the two state seats for this suburban area have been solidly Republican for some years.