Issa won re-election in 2014 by 20 percentage points. He won re-election in 2016 by six/tenths of a percentage point. I think the demographics in his district have changed and that any Republican has their work cut out for them.
“Issa won re-election in 2014 by 20 percentage points. He won re-election in 2016 by six/tenths of a percentage point. I think the demographics in his district have changed”
Demographics don’t change that much in two years. I live in SoCal I know the Two factors led to Issa getting by the skin of his ass in 2016:
1) Many Republicans in Issas own district are tired of him.
2) Anti Trump sentiment in California is off the charts. Even about 20% of California Republicans hate Trump. So Never Trumpers came out in droves in 2016 to vote for Hillary and they voted for Democrats in other offices too.
Isaas district is still about R +5, certainly not a Republican as in the past, but still leans R. If the Republicans can find a strong candidate, they could still hold the seat