By 2040 American Jews will have mostly emigrated to Israel.
A lot of them won’t.
“By 2040 American Jews will have mostly emigrated to Israel.”
Hmmm....what on Earth for? Most are anti-Israel (or just hate Netanyahu) or are typical liberals-for-the-underdog cheering the Palis. American Jews have got it too good here (and that’s fine) to want to perform Aliyah & be forced to adopt a more Spartan lifestyle in Israel at a much higher cost of living.
Jews who emigrate to Israel are escaping conditions worse than the daily risks of living in the Middle East. Jews in France have been told by the government, leave, because we cannot be responsible for your safety. Might become true for Jews in UK & the rest of western Europe.
IMO, Orthodox Jews might be more likely to emigrate out of religious fervor but most are politically conservative and identify as Americans.
In other words, America would have to be nearly overrun with Muslims for majority secular Jews to conclude that Israel would be a safer haven.
And on that subject...Americans have guns, unlike any other country on the planet. Google “American gun culture” and find scores of cites bemoaning, “our nation is awash in guns”. Omar & Achmed will find that there is indeed a rifle behind every blade of grass and a pistol in every infidel’s pocket.