The theoretical margin of error is +/- 3.9 percent in 95 percent of cases at a 50 percent response level. All calls were made by live operators to both landlines and cellphones from our facilities in Rodanthe, North Carolina.43 percent of respondents were reached on cellphones and 27 percent are identified on the voter file as being African-American. The project was completed at the request of several major SuperPAC donors.
SUMMARY Republican Roy Moore holds a 43-40 lead over Democrat Doug Jones under a "worst case" weighting scenario where younger voters turn out at a level equal to that in the 2014 general election. Moore led 43-37 in the raw data. Both candidates have high negatives. Roy Moore has a favorable rating of 31 percent and an unfavorable rating of 39 percent. But Jones is also a net negative, with just 32 percent viewing him favorably and 35 percent unfavorably. These numbers are a bigger problem for Jones than Moore, however. While 88 percent of Jones unfavorables are voting for Moore, Jones is only able to win 75 percent of Moore unfavorables, while Moore still holds 8 percent of their votes.
As more and more of the accusers and their “evidence” get debunked, Moore’s lead will only grow.
And as more and more democrats get “outed” as RECENT sexual predictors and rapists, Moore’s lead will only grow.
A lot of people in Alabama don’t care much for Roy Moore but there are a lot of people saying we cannot let a liberal democrat take our seat.
The fly in ointment for McConnell’s plan was Breitbart scooping the WaPo. It forced the WaPo to publish their story too far in advance of the election for McConnell’s dirty trick to have it’s full effect. Moore had time to counter.
Having said that, be very alert Judge Moore, the swamp critters will have another trick before Election Day, you can count on it.
“...NeverTrump conservatives...”
No such critters...Only RINOs...
A 7-point spread in a REGISTERED voters poll?
Maybe it is distrust of the media, or maybe it is something else, .....
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The “something else” is that all of the latest corroborating evidence to come out has corroborated Judge Moore’s version of events ..... he didn’t do what these women are claiming. Their stories are falling apart more each day as actual investigations of the circumstances (such as obtaining court documents) are occurring & witnesses are coming forward.
Is that a realistic turnout model for this year? Alabama FReepers, WSY?
All the accusations originate and are quoted from media sources which support positions like: Abortion, sex gender reclassification, gay marriage, and nullification of religious influence on culture. All of which are solidly opposed by candidate Roy Moore.
SHOW THE PARTY OF SLAVERY, JIM CROW, THE KU KLUX KLAN, AND DIRTY TRICKS THAT THEIR DIRTY TRICKS NO LONGER WORK! THE AMERICAN PEOPLE ARE AWAKE!
(THE TIMING ALONE SAYS IT ALL!)
They (McConnell, democrats and the media), pulled the trigger a bit too early on this one.
Moore by 8.
5.56mm
,,,, when WOLF is cried too often the effect is lost eventually . This DemocRAT tactic of pre-election slimming is played out . A lynching before a trial by his peers .
Jones has got to have some skeletons in is closet. Moore’s campaign needs to sniff them out.
The Undecideds have to be Moore voters who have been shamed by the MSM into not expressing their opinions to the polls.
The Undecideds have to be Moore voters who have been shamed by the MSM into not expressing their opinions to the polls.