Well, speaking strictly statistically, a 6-digit number like 111111 is just as "random" as, say, 183752.
And yet if you ask a person to "make up a random 6-digit number", no one every says "111111" because it doesn't sound random. But it's just another 6-digit number.
So statistically speaking, six separate caucus coin tosses could come up all "heads" just as easily as coming up any other combination.
> Seems legit.
There ya go. :-)
OTOH, we're talking Clintons here. Nothing is taken for granted with those evil crooks.
So statistically speaking, six separate caucus coin tosses could come up all “heads” just as easily as coming up any other combination.
Clever. Now let’s talk probability.
For each toss of a coin, correctly predicting the result has a probability of 0.5. Correctly predicting three times has a probability of .125 (.5x.5x.5).
The chance of guessing correctly six times in a row is 0.0156.
So each toss of a coin has a ½ chance of being predicted, but six correct predictions in a row is unlikely.