Any democrats in red areas looking to keep their seat next year just may vote for this.
Democrat Senators in states that Trump won in 2016 are considered the most vulnerable in 2018, but the ones most likely to support this Graham-Cassidy bill are those who represent the 19 states that did not implement a Medicaid expansion program as part of ObamaCare. These states are going to benefit the most from any plan that turns Medicaid funding from a Federal entitlement into a block-grant program.