The immigration issue is a nuclear time bomb for the EU. EU POLs are to blame.
But Erdogan is not compatible with NATO either.
This will end in an all out war for Turkey and somebody, or it will end with Erdogan out. The Kemalist are very unhappy where this is going. Do they have the clout to take Erdogan down? I think Erdogan fears them. He should.
After that fake-coup business...all of the natural participants who would want form up the next coup are fearful that they are being drawn into another fake coup. I don’t see nothing happening for the next two years except dismal economic conditions, fewer tourists, and probably half-a-million Turks who will find a way to pack up and leave (probably going mostly into Germany).