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India's Population Already Overtaken China's: Chinese Demographer
IndiaToday ^ | 5/23 | Ananth Krishnan

Posted on 05/31/2017 10:31:34 AM PDT by nickcarraway

According to the demographer's numbers, India is now the world's most populous country, overtaking China five years ahead of forecasts.

hina's population may be smaller than the official 1.37 billion figure and closer to around 1.29 billion people - less than India's population - according to an independent Chinese demographer.

"China's real population may have been about 1.29 billion last year, 90 million fewer people than the official figure released by the National Bureau of Statistics," the South China Morning Post quoted Yi Fuxian, a scholar and demographer at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, as saying at a seminar in Peking University on Monday.

Yi, who has been a critic of the Chinese government's family planning measures and warned of an upcoming ageing crisis for China, said that the government had overstated China's population since 1990. He suggested the ageing crisis may be more severe than expected.

According to his numbers, India, with more than 1.3 billion people, is now the world's most populous country, overtaking China five years ahead of forecasts.

Yi said "there were 377.6 million new births from 1991 to 2016, less than the official figure of 464.8 million," the SCMP reported, noting that China's official figure was 1.37 billion.

Despite the population burdens faced by both countries, this landmark is being seen by most Chinese scholars as a warning rather than any cause for relief, with fears of a rapidly declining workforce and concerns of supporting the world's largest above 60 population.

Yi is far from alone in claiming China's official population data is overstated. "The government has overestimated the birth rate and underestimated the speed of demographic changes," Li Jianxin, another demographer who is at Peking University, was quoted as saying by SCMP. Another scholar, Liang Zhongtang of the Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences, also said official data wasn't accurate.

"The population data since the adaption of one-child policy has been seriously false and the family planning report has been overstated by 30 per cent," Liang was quoted as saying. "The birth control policy which has last nearly four decades is not in accordance with reality. It is imperative that the government should abandon the family planning system."


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Extended News; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: china; chinapopulation; demography; india; indiapopulation; population

1 posted on 05/31/2017 10:31:34 AM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: nickcarraway

One child policy will do that.


2 posted on 05/31/2017 10:45:44 AM PDT by Ouchthatonehurt ("When you're going through hell, keep going." - Sir Winston Churchill)
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To: nickcarraway
Well, if they want to increase their population, I'm not impartial to that... Hell, I might help!

3 posted on 05/31/2017 10:50:28 AM PDT by Ulmius
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To: nickcarraway

You’ve got to remember, China kills 23 million of their people every year. I doubt India does the same.


4 posted on 05/31/2017 10:53:26 AM PDT by jacknhoo (Luke 12:51; Think ye, that I am come to give peace on earth? I tell you, no; but separation.)
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To: nickcarraway

Demographic implosion?


5 posted on 05/31/2017 10:58:12 AM PDT by Sam Gamgee
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To: nickcarraway

Forced/pressured abortions


6 posted on 05/31/2017 10:59:33 AM PDT by Az Joe (Gloria in excelsis Deo)
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To: nickcarraway
As butt-ugly as most of their women are, it's a wonder they haven't gone extinct.
7 posted on 05/31/2017 11:17:53 AM PDT by capt. norm (Two can live as cheaply as one...but for only half as long)
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To: capt. norm
As butt-ugly as most of their women are, it's a wonder they haven't gone extinct.

That is a rude thing to say, and based on what I have seen in Hartford, CT; Rockford, IL and Madison, WI; untrue.
8 posted on 05/31/2017 1:14:01 PM PDT by Dr. Sivana (There is no salvation in politics.)
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To: jacknhoo
You’ve got to remember, China kills 23 million of their people every year. I doubt India does the same.

Correct. India stands at under 700,000 per year according to the Times of India. They do have a problem with (technically illegal) sex selection abortions, but nothing like Red China.
9 posted on 05/31/2017 1:16:50 PM PDT by Dr. Sivana (There is no salvation in politics.)
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To: Dr. Sivana
"As butt-ugly as most of their women are, it's a wonder they haven't gone extinct. That is a rude thing to say, and based on what I have seen in Hartford, CT; Rockford, IL and Madison, WI; untrue. "

Too bad you never looked in Chicago....but I said MOST.
Everybody has different standards and you have identified yours.

"Hi big guy"

10 posted on 05/31/2017 1:34:36 PM PDT by capt. norm (Two can live as cheaply as one...but for only half as long)
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To: capt. norm
Too bad you never looked in Chicago

I went to U of Chicago, few Indian females in the early '80s. Frankly, MOST of the females there were below average (SOMEONE has to balance out Lake Wobegon!)
11 posted on 05/31/2017 1:59:31 PM PDT by Dr. Sivana (There is no salvation in politics.)
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To: capt. norm
Everybody has different standards and you have identified yours.

I married pretty much the opposite, a tall natural blonde Canadian girl who is half Dutch, and the almost all the rest northern European lineage. She has SOME Indian in her, but of the Iroquois variety!

Picking a gross picture of an Indian woman is easily countered with numerous Bollywood stills.
12 posted on 05/31/2017 2:02:37 PM PDT by Dr. Sivana (There is no salvation in politics.)
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