Please, Gaia, don't fail me now!
Posted on 05/25/2017 11:04:34 AM PDT by Alas Babylon!
The Atlantic Ocean could see another above-average hurricane season this year, with 11-17 big storms and as many as nine hurricanes, U.S. forecasters said on Thursday.
The expected absence of El Nino, an ocean warming trend that tends to reduce the likelihood of hurricanes, is a major reason for the expected rise in the number of storms. Other factors include above-average sea surface temperatures and weaker vertical wind shear across the tropical Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea.
An average season produces 12 named storms of which six become hurricanes.
"The outlook reflects our expectation of a weak or non-existent El Nino," said Gerry Bell, lead seasonal hurricane forecaster with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Climate Prediction Center.
The upcoming Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through November 30.
"Forecasters predict a 70 percent likelihood of 11 to 17 named storms," said NOAA, referring to tropical storms with winds of 39 miles per hour or higher.
Five to nine of those storms could become hurricanes, with winds of 74 mph or higher. Two to four hurricanes are expected to be "major," meaning Category 3 or higher, with winds of 111 mph or more.
Already, the eastern Atlantic has seen a rare, pre-season storm, Tropical Storm Arlene, which formed in the eastern Atlantic in April.
(Excerpt) Read more at msn.com ...
Seriously, the odds are there will be hurricanes in the Atlantic/Carribean/Gulf of Mexico somewhere. Will there be more this year than last? Stay tuned! We'll actually know after September or so.
Since Algore predicted more and stronger hurricanes due to global warming, we have managed to more than triple the previous record for a major hurricane making US landfall. LMAO! Moron.
Sooner or later we will have another active season of hurricanes. Who knew?
These early season predictions are humorous. How has the predicting gone over the last five years? Bwa ha ha ha...
It pleases me no end that all the people making wild assed predictions about global warming and hurricanes fell flat on their face.
I’m also glad because those living in coastal areas were spared the grief.
Statistically, it should be above average half the time. It has been eleven years, so has to happen sooner or later
In May and June, tropical storms would typically form in the Gulf of Mexico. But for the past 5-10 years, they haven’t.
The Atlantic waters don’t usually warm up enough for hurricanes until August.
I expect above-average Weather Channel hysteria, in that case.
The average, for Florida, is a number approaching 0.
Expect above-average Atlantic hurricane season...
When they have to name tropical storms, you know it’s bad. Next they will be naming rainstorms.
From the same people who can’t tell you the weather tomorrow accurately.
My furnace was still working into the third week of May.
Maybe by Labor Day the oceans might warm enough for something to happen.
...and a 87.3% likelihood that they're not just wrong, but not even within howitzer range of accurate.
Finally, I predict a 100% likelihood that they'll change their prediction mid-summer, just like they always do.
"Another"? Do they mean "another" like the Katrina season of 2003? Or "another" unusually quiet season like the last dozen or so?
El Nino year so the estimate will go down, bet on it.
They didn’t forecast the terrible hurricane season of 2005, so every year since, they’ve been forecasting an active season, and it hasn’t happened. They cluster around their computers praying for something to show up to justify their jobs,and in the excitement, when one of them expels gas, they name it as a Tropical Storm.
Since the past decade+ has seen below average Atlantic hurricane activity, the numbers are going to go up at some point. BFD.
Well of course, a hurricane is a big deal to anyone impacted by it.... but libtard hype about hurricane numbers and “climate change” has proved to be a lot of hot air.
Coastal homeowner’s insurance went through the roof after the last couple of hurricanes in Florida 10+ years ago. Serious dough made by the insurance companies since then but they’ll still be crying the blues when a hurricane does finally hit. Time for another 30 % increase!
Please, Gaia, don't fail me now!
It’s down right chilly in the mountains of Southeast Kentucky this morning, brrr! Way past blackberry winter and cool for late May. May have to kick heat on here tonight.
As for the original post, right another active hurricane season. Their track record for this is about as bad as it is for their Man Made Globull Warming models.
“The Atlantic Ocean could see another above-average hurricane season this year, with 11-17 big storms and as many as nine hurricanes, U.S. forecasters said on Thursday.”
Contrasted with Weather Bell’s forecast of 11-13 named storms, 4-6 hurricanes two of which will be major.
https://www.weatherbell.com/updated-2017-hurricane-outlook
I’m here in South Alabama...
This past week it rained and rained—usually when it rains we have T-Storms, but this rain was all day steady.
Finally, now the Sun’s out, but it’s only 75 degrees. 4 days before Memorial Day??? It should be in the low 90s!
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