Any credibility? Or if Karen wins is this just a set up for “Russia helped her!”
Perhaps some credibility in the poll. The district demographics are more urban, Handel is not a strong candidate, and the GOP needs to heal wounds amongst themselves. An Ossoff win would not be shocking nor would it be the end of the world for the President and the agenda. My kin in the district just are not excited about the special election. Apathy may favor the Pajama Boy.
SurveyUSA used to be reliable, but in the last few election cycles they have been way off. For example - they consistently showed the race between McConnell and Grimes in 2014 to be close, and with Grimes even ahead or even a couple of times. McConnell won by about 14 points. Not close. The next year in 2015, they consistently showed Conway, the Democrat candidate for governor, consistently ahead of Matt Bevin in every poll by about 5 points. Bevin won by 9 points...even if the poll was “accurate”, the GOP turnout machine far outpaced the Dems...despite the history Bevin had with McConnell, the GOP machine was up and running full steam ahead.
That doesn’t mean they are wrong here, and the turnout machine needs to be going full blast as though it is correct. High turnout of your own people can overtake polls even if they are accurate.