Things not being addressed:
1) It’s not a govt shutdown that is the issue. It’s the debt ceiling. That would force a REAL gov’t shutdown. And no, don’t chest beat about how enforcing the debt ceiling is great. This is not the world of pre 2008. This is a world where the Federal Reserve can Quantitative Ease trillions of dollars from thin air. You aren’t taking a stand about anything when you say “no more debt”.
2) It really IS only 2017 spending. A new budget is in process. If there’s no Wall in that, then it really is game over. But a CR with a debt ceiling . . . not a significant thing.
3) You Are Not The Base. Keep repeating that. The Base is white guys in the Rust Belt who voted for Obama twice. They don’t give a damn about abortion. They don’t give a damn about conservatism in general. They want manufacturing jobs back, even if the companies have to take a loss doing that that. THEY are the base. Trump would be delighted to have companies bring jobs back operating at a loss. That’s not conservative. Neither is he. But he DOES have it right. Those are the untapped vote reservoir, not red meat conservatives in Texas, and he won’t get them appealing to their conservatism. They are about jobs and only because of THAT are they pro Wall.