I posted earlier, I think it’s customary to wait a generation between plebiscites like this. Otherwise opposition will find a reason to drag it up every year.
Should be under no uncertain terms, 20 years between plebiscites.
If you analyze the last ballot and results....along the southern third of Scotland...it was 65-to-70 percent ‘NO’ on the exit of UK measure.
My general gut feeling is that if this comes up and passes over the bulk of Scotland...that this bottom third area (what I would call Caledonia)...will vote heavily against the measure, and almost immediately upon Scotland announcing their exit...this southern third area will ask for their ballot and ask to leave Scotland, and form up as Caledonia. They would then ask to be part of the UK.
All of this would quickly degenerate, with London asking for it’s own ballot measure and the EU in some massive fear that you could see various sections of the 28 countries trying to be free and starting a big mess.