I don’t trust polls either. Especially media polls. The Latter have a tendency to oversample mega city dwellers and laughingly under-sample folks who live in rural areas and the exurbs. That’s how they missed Trump sweeping the industrial heartland, from Pennsylvania to Wisconsin. It’s how they missed Florida. Crooked Hillary may have won Miami Dade, Broward and Palm Beach counties, but she was overwhelmed by folks who live in rural and exurb areas of the state.
With caller ID and cell phones polls are garbage. Ras uses some different methods and was pretty close on the election.