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Losers Who Won't Lose: What Are The Odds Of A Successful Hillary Recount?
Zero Hedge ^ | 11/27/2016 | Submitted by Salil Mehta via Statistical Ideas blog

Posted on 11/27/2016 5:09:11 PM PST by SeekAndFind

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To: SeekAndFind

I think all but the most deluded liberals recognize that Hillary has no chance of overturning the election results. However, that is not the intent the recounts. The Clinton’s are all about revenge and personal destruction. This is no different than Hitler ordering the destruction of Germany by his own troops when he knew the war was lost. Hillary wants to smear Trump, delegitimize his election and strut her fat butt saying that only she won the popular vote. These are the actions of a very mentally ill person.


21 posted on 11/27/2016 5:27:09 PM PST by The Great RJ ("Socialists are happy until they run out of other people's money." Margaret Thatcher)
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To: Carl Vehse

>>If the recount doesn’t uncover Hillary votes by illegals, unregistered, and dead voters, then the recount is rigged.<<

A recount is not an audit. It looks only at the votes cast not who cast them and whether the voter was valid. The only point the voter is involved is to ensure a separate human being initiated each vote.


22 posted on 11/27/2016 5:27:43 PM PST by freedumb2003 (Good morning President Trump)
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To: SeekAndFind

But even though the Clinton camp already knows all of the facts presented in this article (and more) she still has made a move that amounts to a challenge of Trump’s victory.

So that tells me that it is a sure thing they have already set some sort of devious, underhanded plan into motion behind the scenes.

A plan to do something not considered in this article and not immediately obvious to those outside the Clinton camp.

Heck - the minute I heard Hillary’s concession speech I knew it was just too compassionate, smarmy and out of Character for her to be authentic.

She’s not going to let a little thing like respect for the election process stop her from trying a scam to steal the election any more than she let respect for the law stop her from breaking the laws as Secretary of State or using the Clinton Foundation as a scam to get rich off her government position.


23 posted on 11/27/2016 5:28:23 PM PST by Iron Munro (If Illegals voted Rebublican 50 Million Democrats Would Be Screaming "Build The Wall!")
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To: madison10

“... What do you believe this is about? ...”
-
It is all about putting a stain of illegitimacy on the Trump victory
... just like with the Bush v. Gore election ...


24 posted on 11/27/2016 5:28:30 PM PST by Repeal The 17th (I was conceived in liberty, how about you?)
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To: The Great RJ

Hope she is prepared to strut that fat butt across the prison yard.


25 posted on 11/27/2016 5:28:48 PM PST by madison10 (Almost disenfranchised Michigander.)
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To: hal ogen

Yes. They must be obliterated. Their organizations destroyed.


26 posted on 11/27/2016 5:29:03 PM PST by Ray76 (DRAIN THE SWAMP)
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To: SeekAndFind

The odds that the recount changes the election results are zero.


27 posted on 11/27/2016 5:29:29 PM PST by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: SeekAndFind

Sadly, statistics can be worthless in the hands of a single Justice.


28 posted on 11/27/2016 5:30:07 PM PST by immadashell (Save Innocent Lives - ban gun free zones)
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To: SeekAndFind

Bookmark


29 posted on 11/27/2016 5:31:18 PM PST by COUNTrecount
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To: goldstategop

>>They can’t swing PA<<

I have read over and over that PA is done and can’t be recounted unless they convince a judge there was a significant possibility of vote tampering.

Any judge who decides that way takes the chance of getting slapped down hard.


30 posted on 11/27/2016 5:31:38 PM PST by freedumb2003 (Good morning President Trump)
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To: CincyRichieRich

I don’t think Trump worked that hard for a year and a half to let Shrillary steal it out from under him. Keep your powder dry for goodness sakes.


31 posted on 11/27/2016 5:33:13 PM PST by mplsconservative
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To: Repeal The 17th

Thing is, it is nothing like FL. There were no too close to calls in spite of the AP’s lies. 10,000 votes in MI does not even trigger an automatic recount.

I am about to be disenfranchised and I am NOT a happy voter. Hillary, Jill and Huma need to book a padded cell together.


32 posted on 11/27/2016 5:34:25 PM PST by madison10 (Almost disenfranchised Michigander.)
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To: Vendome

Thanks for posting those figures not taken into account by anyone.


33 posted on 11/27/2016 5:34:49 PM PST by Inyo-Mono
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To: SeekAndFind

During the presidential race its a fact that there was strong correlation between the state-specific polls that any responsible pollster would consider as they did their analysis. If Trump started doing better in Florida then one could assume he was also doing better in North Carolina and Ohio as some national events were impacting the race. The same would apply the opposite direction for North Carolina and Ohio if Hillary was doing better in Florida to some degree.

However in the case of recounts there should be NO correlation whatsoever in the process having any change in the results. The Election is long over with all the ballots counted. Thus any errors should be completely random in predicting what direction, if any, that the results would move. If there is any correlation then it would be do to some not-yet-detected bias/rigging which would be very illegal and unbecoming of our elections process.

So with this in mind - if the oddsmakers say that Hillary has a 1% chance of winning PA, 2% chance of winning WI, and 3% chance of winning MI then her total odds of winning the whole Presidential race is approx 0.0006% or about 1 in 160,000. In reality I think her odds are about 1/20th as likely in each of these 3 states so this 1 in 160,000 is more like 1 in 1.28 billion. However due to the risk of “rigging” I think her odds are better - about 1 in a million.


34 posted on 11/27/2016 5:38:52 PM PST by Degaston
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To: goldstategop

I hope this causes Trump to reconsider the whole dealing nicely with the Clintons thing.


35 posted on 11/27/2016 5:43:39 PM PST by jospehm20
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To: SeekAndFind

The real question is how much money is Stein going to get for her coffers and will she jump to the top of the dem playbill as a result of her little show.


36 posted on 11/27/2016 5:44:01 PM PST by pt17
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To: immadashell

Very true words. One injunction, a decision through the 7th Circuit Court of Appeals and a hung SCOTUS can change the whole election.


37 posted on 11/27/2016 5:45:48 PM PST by pfflier
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To: The Great RJ

At this point what difference does it make? Why would Hillary try to delegitimize his election? The only reason
that makes sense is that she is thinking of running in 2020.


38 posted on 11/27/2016 5:46:18 PM PST by Maine Mariner
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To: CincyRichieRich

How do you create a fraudulent vote three weeks after Election Day?


39 posted on 11/27/2016 5:47:50 PM PST by Alberta's Child ("Yo, bartender -- Jobu needs a refill!")
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To: Maine Mariner

Hillary most likely will be worm food by 2020... or did she get better suddenly?


40 posted on 11/27/2016 5:48:32 PM PST by madison10 (Almost disenfranchised Michigander.)
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