Hillsborough County, Florida has voted for the winning president in 21 out of the last 22 elections. Pretty amazing when you think about it.
Obama won Hillsborough by 36,000 votes in 2012. With the big 28,000 early vote lead this year, Clinton has a good chance to win Hillsborough.
After this election, Hillsborough’s record will be 21 out of the last 23 elections.
On election day, Trump needs about 57% of the vote to overcome Hillary’s Hillsboro early vote lead, assuming the total voter count is the same as 2012. 60% of 2012 numbers have voted in Hillsboro. Polling of election day voters in FL show trump +16, so he may well overcome this deficit. Of course, this is only to win Hillsboro, which probably is not going to be a FL bellwether this year given the rest of the early voting analysis done on Florida. In fact, the fullness of all the early voting data suggests that it is Trumps’s to lose on election day, which he won’t. That is the day he performs strongest.
Do you know what election they missed?