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Nate Silver Projects Trump Will Win Florida
Daily Caller ^ | 11/06/2016 | Phillip Stucky

Posted on 11/06/2016 7:13:23 PM PST by GilGil

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To: perfect_rovian_storm

i didnt think so..some people are just born crepe hangers.


81 posted on 11/06/2016 10:00:22 PM PST by basalt
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To: GrandJediMasterYoda

Don’t watch. Seriously. Why stress yourself over things you can’t influence?


82 posted on 11/06/2016 10:01:11 PM PST by Slings and Arrows (My music: http://hopalongginsberg.com/ | Facebook: Hopalong Ginsberg)
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To: perfect_rovian_storm

There was nothing dishonest or trollish about it. I am never dishonest about anything, but relentlessly pursue the facts and truth.

She said “their major path included NV for a while and not CO”, and “of late they’ve had the luxury to swap them out.”

Doesn’t sound ambiguous to me. Their “major path” to victory no longer includes NV but now includes CO instead. It’s been written out of their expected path to victory. They are no longer confident they can win it.

The words “writing off” is my interpretation of those remarks. I was not giving an exact quote. What she said is campaign speak for saying they no longer expect to win NV. I call that writing it off.


83 posted on 11/06/2016 10:03:46 PM PST by JediJones (Social conservatism is the root of all conservatism.)
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To: Windflier; basalt

She said they’ve taken NV out of their “major path” to victory and “swapped it out” with CO. You can interpret that any way you like. Obviously they are not going to publically say they are giving up on any state. Hillary didn’t say she’s giving up on Ohio but we know she has. And it looks like they wrote off Wisconsin when they cancelled this weekend’s event there.

“Writing off” does not of course mean they’re telling people not to go out and vote in those states. It means they’re not part of their primary path to victory.


84 posted on 11/06/2016 10:08:27 PM PST by JediJones (Social conservatism is the root of all conservatism.)
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To: JediJones
Obviously they are not going to publically say they are giving up on any state.

No problem. Next time be more careful how you word things you hear on television. You said in your post that the campaign had written off Nevada.

I understand. We're all on edge, and talk is flying a mile a minute.

85 posted on 11/06/2016 10:13:45 PM PST by Windflier (Pitchforks and torches ripen on the vine. Left too long, they become black rifles.)
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To: JediJones

He was in Reno last night.

The packers were playing in a scheduling snafu.

This has all already been addressed.


86 posted on 11/06/2016 10:13:48 PM PST by Owen
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To: Windflier

My interpretation is still that they’ve written off NV. I didn’t mean that was an exact quote. It’s at least clear that they think their position has weakened there enough so that they’ve swapped it out with CO on their “major path” to victory.

I didn’t mean they’ve written it off as a back-up plan or pulled all their resources from it. Just that they’re not relying on it as a path to victory.


87 posted on 11/06/2016 10:20:12 PM PST by JediJones (Social conservatism is the root of all conservatism.)
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To: perfect_rovian_storm

You wrote on 10/29 that “We’re gonna win MI and PA anyway, but I’d like to win NV too if we can. Don’t sweat it. We got this. :-)”

You get deeply offended and accuse people of “trolling” any time they suggest that we might lose a state. I think overconfidence that we’re going to win a state is more damaging and unhelpful to the cause. That is all about people like you wanting to feel good rather than analyzing the map dispassionately to figure out where the resources should be directed.


88 posted on 11/06/2016 10:25:46 PM PST by JediJones (Social conservatism is the root of all conservatism.)
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To: JediJones

So you think the resource allocation team reads your FR posts to know what to do?


89 posted on 11/06/2016 10:29:36 PM PST by Owen
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To: GilGil

We are going to win this election and I can’t wait to see the excuses these liars make up to explain their lies.


90 posted on 11/06/2016 10:31:24 PM PST by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: GilGil

She is also an awful candidate!


91 posted on 11/06/2016 10:31:54 PM PST by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: basalt

Yea, like Hispanic men are going to vote for a woman President.


92 posted on 11/06/2016 10:32:52 PM PST by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: revivaljoe

Then it is a blowout for Trump, with Hillary losing a large part of the AA vote.


93 posted on 11/06/2016 10:33:57 PM PST by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: comebacknewt
Agree! No way to offset their most reliable vote, the AA vote.

I have seen polls where Trump is getting up to 25% of that vote, which is crushing to Hillary.

If that is true, we win PA.

94 posted on 11/06/2016 10:35:07 PM PST by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: profit_guy

I don’t think Romney won FL did he?


95 posted on 11/06/2016 10:44:15 PM PST by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: Aetius

Most male Hispanics are not voting for a woman President.


96 posted on 11/06/2016 10:45:48 PM PST by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: JediJones

Agreed. With Hillary losing AA voters, no way we lose NC.


97 posted on 11/06/2016 10:47:10 PM PST by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: GilGil

If he wins Florida he’s the President, because she sure as hell isn’t winning Ohio or New Hampshire at this point. Pennsylvania they are absolutely in a tizzy over

Something is afoot right now. It’s somewhat reflected in some polls but not all. But the surge is real and it cannot be stopped.


98 posted on 11/06/2016 11:23:58 PM PST by longsufferingjetsfan
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To: fortheDeclaration

I never said Romney won FL. Read it again.


99 posted on 11/07/2016 12:22:57 AM PST by profit_guy
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To: JediJones

Listen, you lying sack of crap, the issue here isn’t about ‘directing resources’. It’s about you misrepresenting what Conway said. That is plain to everyone who reads what you wrote and watches the video. You lied, straight up. Your ‘interpretation’ of what she said is simply you repeating what you WISH she had said, trying to con people who hadn’t heard it into believing something that wasn’t true.

I, on the other hand, have not made a call either way on NV. The electoral vote paths I’ve charted out can work with Nevada or without and it’s a distinct possibility that Trump will not win Nevada in spite of the polls saying he’s ahead. I don’t like the way the early voting numbers look.

The difference is that I don’t come here, misrepresent things, and then lie about it to try and save face like you have.

Don’t even bother responding to me, you nevertrump POS. I couldn’t possibly care less what you think about anything and I’m only writing this for the benefit of others who may read this thread and cheer when they read your BS being called out.


100 posted on 11/07/2016 12:54:02 PM PST by perfect_rovian_storm
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