Florida Early Vote update, 11/06/2016

11/06/2016 | self

[SpeedyInTexas]

Here are the RETURNED Florida Absentee Ballot numbers for 2016 (REPs led in this category by 79,000 in 2012). Approximately 75.4% of Absentee Ballots have been returned at this point.

79.3% of REP ballots, have been returned and 73.7% of DEM ballots have been returned.

11/06/16: REPs - 1,043,583, DEMs - 974,135 lead of 69,448 for REPs, 41.1% to 38.4%

11/05/16: REPs - 1,019,738, DEMs - 947,476 lead of 74,262 for REPs, 41.3% to 38.4%

11/04/16: REPs - 985,142, DEMs - 910,908 lead of 74,234 for REPs, 41.6% to 38.4%

11/03/16: REPs - 949,527, DEMs - 874,500 lead of 75,027 for REPs, 41.8% to 38.5%

11/02/16: REPs - 909,299, DEMs - 835,206 lead of 74,093 for REPs, 41.9% to 38.5%

For Hillsborough [battleground/swing county] (DEMs had a lead of 20,000 in 2012 early voting - that's absentee ballots plus in-person early voting):

11/06/16: REPs - 140,347, DEMs - 164,955, lead of 24,608 for DEMs <== Now reflects absentee + in-person early voting

[SpeedyInTexas]

In-Person early voting has started. DEMs will likely take the lead with in-person voting (and they have). The goal is to reduce their lead from 2012's margin.

2012 (ballots cast, not yet counted) Totals from Election Eve 2012

Absentee Ballot - REPs led by 79,000

In-Person Early Voting - DEMs led by 247,000

Combined Early voting - DEMs led by 168,000

Obama won Florida in 2012 by 74,000 votes

2016 (ballots cast, not yet counted)

Absentee Ballot - REPs lead by 69,448

In-Person Early Voting - DEMs lead by 102,074

Combined Early voting - DEMs lead by 32,626

[SpeedyInTexas]

DEMs had a good day yesterday and increased their combined lead by 25,000. Today most REP counties are closed for voting and the big DEM counties are open. DEMs will add to their margin bigly today. They could add another 35,000 today. That would give them a combined early voting lead of around 65,000 – 70,000.

In 2012, they led by 168,000. So an improvement of 100,000 for REPs. Obama only won the state by 74,000 so REPs are looking good to win Florida!

Keep the Faith. Believe.

[SpeedyInTexas]

ping

[Round 9]

Why are Dem counties open while Rep counties are closed?

[DarthVader]

Consider that there is also crossover Dem support for Trump too.

[edie1960]

Thanks so much for the excellent concise update.

[DrDude]

L A Times is reporting Dems have an early voting lead in Florida of 7,000. They do not post any numbers. Does that sound like propagnda? Why(else0 would someone write a story without providing numbers? My guess is Trump is doing well. Only a guess. Any other thoughts.

[SpeedyInTexas]

Each county decides if it wants to be open on Sunday.

My guess is the REP counties want to be good stewards of tax money and close their offices today - and let people vote on Tuesday.

[rb22982]

Per this thread, it’s actually above 7k now. You have to combine mail in + in person. The lead for Dems is significantly less than 2012 though.

[SpeedyInTexas]

7000 was the DEM lead yesterday. Today, their lead is 32,000.

But they led by 168,000 on Election Eve in 2012.

Even after today’s early voting, we will have improved by 100k from 2012.

[Ravi]

Not too bad. Just one more day.

[Lucas McCain]

I drove over 500 miles yesterday through 8 central and southwest counties in Florida. I saw many dozens of Trump signs along the road. Not one Hillary sign.

[TrumpCoat]

Ouch.

[SpeedyInTexas]

Do you ever sleep? You were posting at like 1-2am in the morning.

[kabar]

What about the UA voters?

[Ravi]

Yeah not much last night

[tatown]

FL looked like an easy call a couple of days ago. A bit tight now.

[SpeedyInTexas]

1.3 million Indy’s have voted so far.

Romney won Is by 5%. Trump 7-10% is likely.

[SamAdams76]

If I recall, Dem counties were the first to open early voting and Rep counties didn't begin until a week later. Now we have Dem counties staying open an extra day.

While I'm encouraged with the results compared to 2012, I hate early voting!

I plan to vote on Tuesday. I simply do not trust early voting and so I do not participate in it. It would be too easy for my vote to get discarded or changed if I voted ahead of time. I'd rather show up on the day itself.

I'm sure many feel the same way I do.

[DrDude]

Thanks to all for the info. I get very frustrated when Libs post without links. Speedy has been on this for awhile. Nice work. I am on here 24/7 all year long. I do not join in just for election. Thanks Rifleman.