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Poll: Clinton holds a 6-point lead in Pa.
Morning Call ^ | 11/05/2016 | Laura Olson

Posted on 11/06/2016 1:52:52 AM PST by Trump20162020

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To: BlessedBeGod

1. Democrat........................................................... 47%
2. Republican.........................................................40%
3. Independent.......................................................10%
4. Other Party.......................................................... 2%

NEVER have I seen numbers as skewed as this! Sure, we’re used to oversampling of Dems, but look at the Inds!


21 posted on 11/06/2016 2:47:00 AM PST by HandBasketHell
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To: HandBasketHell

10% Independents?


22 posted on 11/06/2016 2:58:41 AM PST by stocksthatgoup (When the MSM wants your opinion, they will give it to you)
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To: jimbug

Looking for favor with Hillary and her money


23 posted on 11/06/2016 3:21:34 AM PST by ronnie raygun
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To: Trump20162020

Poll has a sample size of...wait for it...405 LV?!

ROTFLMAO!!!


24 posted on 11/06/2016 3:28:38 AM PST by mewzilla (I'll vote for the first guy who promises to mail in his SOTU addresses.)
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To: cgbg

I think many more people are looking for outsiders this year. It explains some of Trumps popularity as hes not a politician but also 3rd party strength. I do think 7% is a bit much but between them 5-6% is reasonable and is in line with nationwide samples.


25 posted on 11/06/2016 3:31:57 AM PST by wiggen (#JeSuisCharlie)
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To: vinny29

When we lived in PA, in 94, ours were two of 460,269 votes (12.8 percent) for Peg Luksick (Constitution).


26 posted on 11/06/2016 3:32:58 AM PST by Theophilus (The Deprived Depraved, deplorable to the Deplorables.)
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To: BlessedBeGod

There are slightly more than 4 million registered Dems in PA compared to a little over 3 million registered Repbublicans. It’s a Dem heavy state.


27 posted on 11/06/2016 3:33:01 AM PST by Stevenc131
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To: goldstategop

Bad news for Clinton in NC. Two stats: AA voting down 16%. Those voting for DT double what Romney got, or up to 19%. Combined, that’s at least a 26% swing in what HBO got in 2012. Don’t think she can win with this huge swing. That’s why she’s back for a midnight rally in NC. Image the concern to force her into the state at that hour


28 posted on 11/06/2016 3:38:02 AM PST by Swanks
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To: Trump20162020

I don’t know who the hell they are polling. All the people I talk to from NE PA to Montgomery and Bucks County are voting Trump. I see more “ Lock Her Up’ signs in PA than “I’m with her”.


29 posted on 11/06/2016 3:38:10 AM PST by Renegade
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To: apillar

Yes, drove out a valley away from Harrisburg (Hburg is D enclave) and saw nothing but sign after sign for Trump. No Hillary. Quite a few big Trump signs too. I’m from here, and lived here most of my life, and never remember this many people with signs in there yard, for anyone. People are energized.


30 posted on 11/06/2016 3:38:52 AM PST by smileyface (Things looking up in blue PA)
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To: Trump20162020

Everyone likes to scream democrats were over sampled, but according to the Pennsylvania state voter registration statistics, democrats outnumber republicans by 82K in 2016. That translates into a 9% point advantage if every registered voter shows up to the polls and votes along party lines.

http://www.dos.pa.gov/VotingElections/OtherServicesEvents/VotingElectionStatistics/Pages/default.aspx


31 posted on 11/06/2016 3:39:26 AM PST by BradtotheBone (Record number of people on welfare. That's the State of the Union under Obama.)
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To: goldstategop

Show us your insight...


32 posted on 11/06/2016 3:42:35 AM PST by zwerni (this isn't gonna be good for business)
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To: goldstategop

It’s total junk. They all are. Even if they sampled 50/50 RATs to GOP, Trump would still be trouncing the witch. Yet these people contin this mind game.

They intend to steal it. They’re watching to see what percentage of the population believes their lies. They’re finding it is very high among the Kardashian watchers.


33 posted on 11/06/2016 3:43:08 AM PST by uncitizen (Drain.The.Swamp!)
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To: Trump20162020
"The statewide survey — conducted between Oct. 30 and Nov. 4 with 405 likely Pennsylvania voters and with a margin of error of 5.5 percentage points — shows Clinton with support from 48 percent and Trump with the backing of 42 percent in a head-to-head matchup."

So if a group of Muhlenberg College coeds make 4050 telephone calls, 6% more of the 10% that actually answer the phone (24.3) claim that they will vote for Clinton than for Trump?

34 posted on 11/06/2016 3:47:14 AM PST by Sooth2222 ("Every nation has the government it deserves." - Joseph de Maistre (1753-1821))
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To: Trump20162020

“When third-party candidates are included, Clinton’s lead narrows to 4 points.”

At this point, why would you exclude Johnson & Stein if they are on the ballot? Only to make headlines of course since their presence hurts Hillary more than Trump.


35 posted on 11/06/2016 3:48:45 AM PST by Stevenc131
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To: Swanks
Image the concern to force her into the state at that hour

Probably had to miss midnight black mass.

36 posted on 11/06/2016 3:52:40 AM PST by Stentor
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To: goldstategop

LOL such bull shit another college Poll?


37 posted on 11/06/2016 3:53:09 AM PST by angcat (TRUMP!)
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To: BlessedBeGod

Do they select the mix of respondents by the makeup of the state? Because PA is certainly very Democrat. I’ve lived here for 60 years, and it feels to me like PA is even more than 47% Democrat.....I hope Trump could win here, and there are lots of Trump signs in my area, and hardly any Hillary signs, but if Trump wins here, it will be amazing. I strongly fear the fix is in, in the fraud votes from Philly and Pittsburgh.


38 posted on 11/06/2016 3:55:39 AM PST by Old_Grouch (69 and AARP-free. Monthly FR contributor.)
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To: Trump20162020

Garbage. That a win bigger than O in 12. Not going to happen


39 posted on 11/06/2016 4:00:06 AM PST by HamiltonJay
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To: BlessedBeGod

You do realize PA registration in 48D 38R? Don’t confuse national registration rates with individual states rates


40 posted on 11/06/2016 4:01:56 AM PST by HamiltonJay
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