LAtimes Daybreak poll - 2012

www.peoplespunditdaily.com ^ | November 2012 | Latimes

[IVAXMAN]

For your enjoyment. This is a link to the 2012 results from the LATimes Daybreak poll.

2012 Compared to 2016

2012 --- https://www.peoplespunditdaily.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/2012-RAND-Presidential-Election-Daybreak-Poll-e1475424220560.png

2016 --- http://cesrusc.org/election/

[IVAXMAN]

2012 -— https://www.peoplespunditdaily.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/2012-RAND-Presidential-Election-Daybreak-Poll-e1475424220560.png

2016 -— http://cesrusc.org/election/

[CatOwner]

One difference I see is less committed voters in 2016 compared to 2012 for the two main candidates. Hopefully those undecideds break for Trump.

[goldstategop]

No one liked Mitt. People on the other hand just do get Trump.

[IVAXMAN]

I noticed that both Romney and Obama ended up in the final vote matching the highest they were able to attain on the entire graph. Obama maxed at 51.5 and Romney maxed at about 46 and this is about what they both got in the election.

So far that would be 47.8 Trump, 46.3 Hillary.

But I am hoping Trump goes higher over the coming week.

[goldstategop]

Hillary will get around 40%.

The D +8 sampling is pure fiction.

[BigEdLB]

50-38 Trump Johnson5 Stein 3 others. Mc Muffin, Castle etc 4 combined. DJT 400+ evs.

[cgbg]

50-38 Trump Johnson5 Stein 3 others. Mc Muffin, Castle etc 4 combined. DJT 400+ evs.

I will tinker a little bit.

Give Hillary three points for voter fraud nationwide.

Johnson and Stein are getting a combined two percent in early voting in FL and NC. Maybe they will do a little better out west so I will give them a little more than 2 each.

They split evenly.

So that leaves us with:

T 52

H 43

Others 5

[BigEdLB]

Possible. But I still say 400+ EVs for DJT.