Posted on 11/01/2016 5:41:45 AM PDT by GilGil
The USC/LA TimesDaybreak poll was 9 hours late this morning. The other time it was late was when they decided that they had wrongfully placed the 95% confidence interval to decrease it to show that Hillary Clinton had gone out the gray area as many times and Donald Trump had.
So what was the explanation this time? We dont know for sure, however, seeing yesterdays results that Donald Trump showed a huge surge, one could imagine that the LA Times political portion of this team just might have objected to putting up relatively honest results. Could there have been an internal fight between the academics who are supposed to be running the poll, and the political people at the Times who have strongly endorsed Clinton?
Now thats all admittedly speculation, but that is where my professional news nose is pointing me. Now, lets get to the numbers.
In the overall national tracking poll which a 7-day rolling average of this polls 3,237 participants shows Trump surging up 6/10ths of a percent and Clinton a full 1.1% in a single day a swing of 1.7%.
Both candidates Trump on the topside, and Clinton on the bottom side of this chart are now within a half point of breaking into the gray band that means that the pollsters are at least 95% confident that the candidate with the highest percentage will win the popular vote.
And the closer to election day that this occurs, the more sure of that result we can be.
Trump now stands at 46.6% and Clinton at 43.2% - a 3.4% lead for Trump.
(Excerpt) Read more at youtube.com ...
What a blow out!!!
When Trump has a 3 Pt + National lead, the implications for the Electoral Vote are huge given the fact that Hillary has very big leads in large states like CA and NY. To make up for those margins she has in the big Blue States, Trump must be doing very good elsewhere.
Don't believe the lying stacked LSM polls.
Look for and pray for a Reagan Landslide.
+3% points....is not a huge lead in anyone’s book.
I know this is sarcasm, but any lead is good. It’s not going to get any better over the next week.
There will be more bad news for Clinton.
Those “blue” states might not be as blue as we think
Remember Trump is winning rigged polls that have always favored Clinton
Expect a blowout
New York, New Jersey, PA, CT, might turn out to be Trump states....
Look at the New Jersey polls
First throw out that Rutgers poll (Clinton +24, really, what are they smoking?), it is pure garbage, all Rutgers polls are garbage, they had Corzine easily winning re-election when Christie won by like 4.
Look at the rest, Clinton +6, +11, +4 that is swing state material, and these polls were before Clinton imploded.
Right now, with REAL SAMPLE, Trump is leading by 6-8 points.
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This poll is weighted too much in Hillary’s direction. Trump is out of the grey and 95% chance he wins!
AKA The Democrat Demolition Derby.
I would say God answered prayers for this country! Comey did an about face and took hillary to task... Wikileaks keeps the emails coming... and some of the media has noticed their choice is a criminal after all...
and the big discovery... the evidence showed up in the weirdest place... the emails found on that laptop... you can’t make that stuff up!!
Whoda’ thought Comey would do this 11 days before hillary was slated to win the election... whoda’ thought hillary would be held accountable for ANYTHING... but it happened.
Yep! Truly amazing that coming did the right thing. Simply staggering!
Yep! Truly amazing that Comey did the right thing. Simply staggering!
Where do you see that result?
You are correct because some states are decided merely by a hanging chad;) but seriously squandering millions of votes to secure Electoral Votes only makes you popular in that state, not across the nation. Trump will win some states by 10,000 votes as opposed to losing California by 4 million.
what result?
Today's result is even better: 46.9 Trump, 43.3 Clinton.Where do you see that result?
Right there . Plain as day. 11/1/2016
http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-usc-daybreak-poll-methodology-20160714-snap-story.html
The real test of the weather... What is California doing?
Sorry, up in the top post it must have had yesterdays results and not today’s results. I see, now, on the link the results for today. thanks.
If working class and disaffected white show up, ANY state Hillary isn’t polling up 5 or more, is likely to be Trump territory.
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