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Poll finds shrinking lead for Clinton in New Hampshire ("within margin of error")
www.cnn.com ^ | 26 Nov 2016

Posted on 10/26/2016 12:15:34 PM PDT by 11th_VA

Washington (CNN) — Hillary Clinton's edge over Donald Trump is dwindling in New Hampshire, a new Monmouth University poll shows.

Clinton leads the GOP nominee by 4 percentage points, within the poll's 4.9-point margin of error and an apparent decrease from the 9-point edge she enjoyed in Monmouth's September survey.

Washington (CNN) — Hillary Clinton's edge over Donald Trump is dwindling in New Hampshire, a new Monmouth University poll shows.

Clinton leads the GOP nominee by 4 percentage points, within the poll's 4.9-point margin of error and an apparent decrease from the 9-point edge she enjoyed in Monmouth's September survey.

(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: New Hampshire
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; 2016swingstates; nh2016
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To: Red Steel

Doesn’t need anything else if he gets 269. Then the House gives him the presidency. Luckily it’s not the Senate, where #nevertrumper Repubs would probably give it to Clinton.


41 posted on 10/26/2016 12:49:16 PM PDT by JediJones (Social conservatism is the root of all conservatism.)
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To: JediJones

Yeah I know. I’d rather Trump take 270+ outright then have them weasels in Congress hand it to him.


42 posted on 10/26/2016 12:51:30 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: JediJones

I’m in one of those Christian Conservative states and Trump/Pence signs are popping up all over the place!


43 posted on 10/26/2016 1:08:03 PM PDT by Tennessee Conservative
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To: Red Steel

Has Maine ever split its EVs?


44 posted on 10/26/2016 1:10:33 PM PDT by JediJones (Social conservatism is the root of all conservatism.)
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To: Tennessee Conservative

I’m sure he’ll win the Bible Belt but I just wonder if his margins will be a little less than usual and potentially shave down that popular vote. Utah is the religious state that could lose him the most popular vote due to the 3rd party guy making a play there.


45 posted on 10/26/2016 1:13:07 PM PDT by JediJones (Social conservatism is the root of all conservatism.)
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To: 11th_VA

In 2012 Obama won New Hampshire 52% to 46%.

Trump can win it.


46 posted on 10/26/2016 1:13:36 PM PDT by eekitsagreek
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To: Red Steel

Maine’s never split the vote, but I don’t know how close the vote has been by CD. Wondering what’s the closest they came to splitting.

Since it’s never happened though, I’d tend to rule out the possibility, which makes Trump getting one of those three crucial.


47 posted on 10/26/2016 1:16:21 PM PDT by JediJones (Social conservatism is the root of all conservatism.)
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To: JediJones

Everybody I know here is voting Trump. The only Democratic sign I have seen around here was my neighbor in 2012 but I’m not even sure about him. He had an Obama sign in the yard around Halloween right under white sheeted ghosties hanging in his maple tree. So far no sign this year in his yard.


48 posted on 10/26/2016 1:17:02 PM PDT by Tennessee Conservative
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To: JediJones

I don’t know , but it is a very good chance takes CD 2. I believe I’ve seen Trump over Hellary by at least 11% in CD 2 Maine.

And Trump is heading back to Maine soon ...this Friday.


49 posted on 10/26/2016 1:17:15 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: Red Steel

Good grief, if it is up to Paul Ryan to decide, he will go for Hillary!


50 posted on 10/26/2016 1:20:17 PM PDT by austinaero
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To: 11th_VA
IIRC Winning N.C., Ohio, Florida and picking up NH means he just needs the two toss up west states and the single EVs from Nebraska and Maine still in question.

IOW Trump suddenly (heh) has several routes to the White House.

51 posted on 10/26/2016 1:24:55 PM PDT by Mad Dawgg (If you're going to deny my 1st Amendment rights then I must proceed to the 2nd one...)
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To: eekitsagreek

Bush did much better in CO than NH. Bush won CO by 8 points (Nader was big there for some reason), then 4 points. Bush lost NH to Kerry and was only 2 points ahead of Gore.

Obama won both CO and NH by about the same margin, doing slightly better in 2008 in NH.

NH has its own unique character, so hard to say if Trump is the type of candidate who would overperform there or not. CO’s trend line towards the Dems is disturbingly sharp, so it’s hard to say if it’s become unwinnable now.

Either way, Trump really needs to tailor a message to those 2 states. I doubt Maine is going to split, so he really needs one of them.


52 posted on 10/26/2016 1:26:22 PM PDT by JediJones (Social conservatism is the root of all conservatism.)
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To: JediJones

I sure won’t count on those GOPe traitors in the House of Reps. to give Trump the win, should it come to that.

Fortunately, I don’t think it will.


53 posted on 10/26/2016 1:26:29 PM PDT by Kate in Palo Alto
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To: 11th_VA

Well, it is supposed to be the “Live Free or Die” state


54 posted on 10/26/2016 1:29:01 PM PDT by Magnum44 (My comprehensive terrorism plan: Hunt them down and kill them)
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To: Red Steel
I don't know if redistricting has happened or anything like that to change who votes there. But Dems have won CD2 consistently, doing better there than in NH.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maine%27s_2nd_congressional_district

55 posted on 10/26/2016 1:29:42 PM PDT by JediJones (Social conservatism is the root of all conservatism.)
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To: 11th_VA

Good, NH may just matter in the electoral calculus.


56 posted on 10/26/2016 1:30:58 PM PDT by 1Old Pro
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To: JediJones

If lefty, corrupt pollsters can’t slant it enough for Hellary, gives me no doubt she is losing Maine CD 2.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/mecd2/maine_cd2_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-6127.html#polls


57 posted on 10/26/2016 1:36:32 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: SoFloFreeper
Maybe. But this could be bait to draw Trump to NH for those 4 electoral votes and away from bigger fish.

I believe NH would be the perfect size fish. I have Trump at 266 EV's. Assuming Trump has OH, FL, NV, NV an IA, then NH would put him at 270.

58 posted on 10/26/2016 1:37:39 PM PDT by FreeReign
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To: Kate in Palo Alto

It’s not a straight vote, it’s 1 vote per state. We have well over 30 states with majority Repubs in the house, so it should be a cakewalk even if 1 out of every 5 of them defected to Hellary.


59 posted on 10/26/2016 1:38:33 PM PDT by JediJones (Social conservatism is the root of all conservatism.)
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To: SoFloFreeper

His campaign strategy should ignore the media polls, it is propaganda and he knows it: #RiggedSystem


60 posted on 10/26/2016 1:41:18 PM PDT by John Robinson (I am a twit @_John_Robinson)
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