Posted on 10/26/2016 11:06:04 AM PDT by 11th_VA
Two weeks after early voting began in California, independent voters in San Diego County are off to a sluggish start.
No-party preference voters, also colloquially called declined to states, make up 26.8 percent of San Diego County’s electorate, but as of Tuesday they account for just 19.3 percent early voters or people who have returned mail-in ballots. While independents are underrepresented in votes cast so far, turnout is disproportionately high for members of the two major parties.
While independents are often targeted by candidates in general elections, turnout among this group is often low. Not one party in any county, state or municipal office in San Diego has a voter registration majority, so campaigns almost always need support from independents to win.
Of ballots cast so far, 41.3 percent were from Democrats, while 37 percent of the electorate belongs to that party. Another 35.5 percent of ballots were from Republicans while 31.4 percent of county voters are in the GOP. Third party turnout is disproportionately low across the board by fractions of a percent.
Poll: Bernie up with independents
Makes sense - Bernie voters not turning out for Hillary ...
I thought we wanted Independence to turn out in large numbers because Trump was winning among them
Having lived in San Diego for much of my adult life, I would be inclined to agree with your interpretation. Bernie voters are not turning out for Hillary. As expected.
Not in SoCal.
Because I can’t recall anyone predicting that anyone besides Hillary will win California, this is probably good for us.
A vote from Bernie people that doesn’t come to us is best kept off the field than they use it for Hillary.
I would even prefer it go to the Green Party.
My research on Indys shows they come in different colors, depending on region - in the Far West they are mostly Bernie supporters ..
Sadly, I think many of the No-party preference voters are ex-Republicans. I think it would be not all that common for a DEM to flip to IND in CA.
Gotcha
Its pretty clear Trump is ahead in independents nation wide, but I doubt he is ahead with any group other than Republicans in the big cities of California.
Yes, it would...you don’t understand California very well. These are the Greens. There is a large off-the-scale left contingent beyond what you think of as left. They think the Democrats are way too far toward the middle. There aren’t many Republicans left in the urban core areas - but those that are tend to be GOPe liberals, they aren’t the kind to get upset over McCain, Graham, Ryan and Romney.
Independents in the urban core areas of California are what we like to call the Greens. This is a very large cohort in California that think Democrats like Clinton and Reid and Schumer are way, way too far to the right.
Being labeled a Republican in California can get you attacked in this state, whether it be your family, your home. your car, or your business.
Am I reading this right? So far it’s D+6 in California?
If that holds. It will be very close.
That is only true in the major urban areas north and south. Across the wider swath of low population, rural and agricultural California that does not hold at all.
The point here is that these independents are the former Bernie voters, who aren’t Democrats because they are too far out in the left ozone layer. Even Bernie is closer to the middle than a lot of these. They aren’t people in Fresno, or Eureka or Yorba Linda who are upset with Republicans.
I’ve long maintained that many millenials have become disillusioned, given how Sanders lost the primary, and Her Heinous’ calling them “basement dwellers”, which shows her condescending attitude toward them, just like other groups she pretends to give a shiite about. IMO, a significant number will either go third party or sit out the election in disgust. Or maybe a few of them will vote for Trump figuring, in Trump’s own words, “what the hell do we have to lose?”
Just remind all Democrats: you vote on Wednesday, November 9.
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